stegemma wrote:I think that Stockfish has reached its own limit and can't progress anymore. The SF OS team has started from a well know point and has used well know technology but now they are in a "local maximum". The only way to progress would be to full rewrite the code, starting from different ideas.
"Sorry captain, the fish starship has been captured by a black hole!"
I think limits aren't easy to measure anymore. When 10.000 games are needed to start thinking engine maybe is 5 ELOs stronger, then we could conclude no real progress is possible.
Rodolfo
P.S. To Lyudmil Tsvetkov... You didn't understand (or didn't like) this joke as well as some other people didn't understand (or didn't like) your "Che tu possa morire" joke.
stegemma wrote:I think that Stockfish has reached its own limit and can't progress anymore. The SF OS team has started from a well know point and has used well know technology but now they are in a "local maximum". The only way to progress would be to full rewrite the code, starting from different ideas.
"Sorry captain, the fish starship has been captured by a black hole!"
that might not be fully true.
I guess SF can still achieve quite a lot elo on their current code.
problem is, when code necessarily grows(not in terms of lines count, but in terms if bigger number of eval terms and more refined conditional search), how to successfully tune a much larger pool of parameters?
they are having difficulties fine-tuning even the current set.
Thanks very interesting. Actually over the given time frame the progress (in selfplay) still looks linear.
May be with an exception between 10/15 and 03/16, here the progress seems to have been a bit higher.
Thanks very interesting. Actually over the given time frame the progress (in selfplay) still looks linear.
May be with an exception between 10/15 and 03/16, here the progress seems to have been a bit higher.
Guenther
We can know if we are now at a local maximum only if we come back to this graph after some month since now. Of course, if we are at the bottom of the hill and we can't see forward, we cannot know that we cannot raise again. Mine is just an IMHO and a bid.