LCZero progress

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majortom
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by majortom » Sun May 27, 2018 7:39 am

LC0 344_283aca47 with 750 000 playouts per move vs. Stockfish 130418 with depth=30 from initial position:

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majortom
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by majortom » Sun May 27, 2018 10:06 am

majortom wrote:
Sun May 27, 2018 7:39 am
LC0 344_283aca47 with 750 000 playouts per move vs. Stockfish 130418 with depth=30 from initial position:

Broadcast
Last LC0 move time - 7935557 ms > 132 min

majortom
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by majortom » Sun May 27, 2018 11:55 am


majortom
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by majortom » Mon May 28, 2018 8:00 am

Code: Select all

   # PLAYER                   :  RATING  ERROR  POINTS  PLAYED   (%)
   1 LC0 330_de60388a N714    :   103.0   35.6   128.5     200    64
   2 LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714    :     0.0   ----    71.5     200    36

White advantage = 17.18 +/- 19.59
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00
Games

majortom
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by majortom » Mon May 28, 2018 8:06 am

Code: Select all

   # PLAYER                   :  RATING  ERROR  POINTS  PLAYED   (%)
   1 LC0 330_de60388a N714    :   279.2   32.5   293.5     400    73
   2 LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714    :   180.6   24.7   450.5     800    56
   3 LC0 302_ade7ac45 N714    :   133.5   26.6   327.0     600    55
   4 LC0 173_101eeb41 N2k     :   119.4   25.3   311.5     600    52
   5 LC0 125_738edc3d N2k     :     0.0   ----   217.5     800    27

White advantage = 15.84 +/- 6.65
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00

Code: Select all

1 LC0 330_de60388a N714 :279.2 400 (+231,=125,- 44), 73.4 %

LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714   : 200 (+ 83,= 91,- 26), 64.3 %
LC0 125_738edc3d N2k    : 200 (+148,= 34,- 18), 82.5 %

2 LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714 :180.6 800 (+299,=303,-198), 56.3 %

LC0 330_de60388a N714   : 200 (+ 26,= 91,- 83), 35.8 %
LC0 302_ade7ac45 N714   : 200 (+ 51,= 89,- 60), 47.8 %
LC0 125_738edc3d N2k    : 200 (+134,= 48,- 18), 79.0 %
LC0 173_101eeb41 N2k    : 200 (+ 88,= 75,- 37), 62.8 %

3 LC0 302_ade7ac45 N714 :133.5 600 (+199,=256,-145), 54.5 %

LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714   : 200 (+ 60,= 89,- 51), 52.3 %
LC0 125_738edc3d N2k    : 200 (+ 77,= 84,- 39), 59.5 %
LC0 173_101eeb41 N2k    : 200 (+ 62,= 83,- 55), 51.8 %

4 LC0 173_101eeb41 N2k  :119.4 600 (+203,=217,-180), 51.9 %

LC0 302_ade7ac45 N714   : 200 (+ 55,= 83,- 62), 48.3 %
LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714   : 200 (+ 37,= 75,- 88), 37.3 %
LC0 125_738edc3d N2k    : 200 (+111,= 59,- 30), 70.3 %

5 LC0 125_738edc3d N2k  :  0.0 800 (+105,=225,-470), 27.2 %

LC0 330_de60388a N714   : 200 (+ 18,= 34,-148), 17.5 %
LC0 302_ade7ac45 N714   : 200 (+ 39,= 84,- 77), 40.5 %
LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714   : 200 (+ 18,= 48,-134), 21.0 %
LC0 173_101eeb41 N2k    : 200 (+ 30,= 59,-111), 29.8 %

majortom
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by majortom » Mon May 28, 2018 8:10 am

Code: Select all

   # PLAYER                   :  RATING  ERROR  POINTS  PLAYED   (%)
   1 Stockfish 130418 D15     :   311.0   49.2   171.0     200    86
   2 LC0 302_ade7ac45 N714    :     0.0   ----    29.0     200    15

White advantage = 7.08 +/- 26.21
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00
Games

majortom
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by majortom » Mon May 28, 2018 8:13 am

Code: Select all

   # PLAYER                   :  RATING  ERROR  POINTS  PLAYED   (%)
   1 Stockfish 130418 D15     :   662.3  128.2   885.5    1000    89
   2 LC0 330_de60388a N714    :   426.6  135.2    41.5     200    21
   3 LC0 302_ade7ac45 N714    :   350.3  141.7    29.0     200    15
   4 LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714    :   307.9  134.7    23.5     200    12
   5 LC0 173_101eeb41 N2k     :   233.1  141.9    16.0     200     8
   6 LC0 125_738edc3d N2k     :     0.0   ----     4.5     200     2

White advantage = 22.54 +/- 12.29
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00

Code: Select all

1 Stockfish 130418 D15  :662.3 1000 (+813,=145,- 42), 88.5 %

LC0 330_de60388a N714   : 200 (+134,= 49,- 17), 79.3 %
LC0 302_ade7ac45 N714   : 200 (+152,= 38,- 10), 85.5 %
LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714   : 200 (+161,= 31,-  8), 88.3 %
LC0 173_101eeb41 N2k    : 200 (+173,= 22,-  5), 92.0 %
LC0 125_738edc3d N2k    : 200 (+193,=  5,-  2), 97.8 %

2 LC0 330_de60388a N714 :426.6 200 (+ 17,= 49,-134), 20.8 %

Stockfish 130418 D15    : 200 (+ 17,= 49,-134), 20.8 %

3 LC0 302_ade7ac45 N714 :350.3 200 (+ 10,= 38,-152), 14.5 %

Stockfish 130418 D15    : 200 (+ 10,= 38,-152), 14.5 %

4 LC0 239_0df31cb9 N714 :307.9 200 (+  8,= 31,-161), 11.8 %

Stockfish 130418 D15    : 200 (+  8,= 31,-161), 11.8 %

5 LC0 173_101eeb41 N2k  :233.1 200 (+  5,= 22,-173),  8.0 %

Stockfish 130418 D15    : 200 (+  5,= 22,-173),  8.0 %

6 LC0 125_738edc3d N2k  :  0.0 200 (+  2,=  5,-193),  2.3 %

Stockfish 130418 D15    : 200 (+  2,=  5,-193),  2.3 %

majortom
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by majortom » Wed May 30, 2018 8:59 am

The match LC0 173_101eeb41 N128k against Stockfish 130418 D15 should be finished soon, I hope, but I started a new one two days ago.

If we take two versions of LCZero, between which a month of development:

Code: Select all

173 	101eeb41 	5176.54 	50526 	10 	128 	2018-04-23 01:43:00.201447 -0400 EDT
330 	de60388a 	5905.68 	68274 	15 	192 	2018-05-23 09:43:14.535737 -0400 EDT
we can see about 200 elo increase against Stockfish 130418 D15:

Code: Select all

   # PLAYER                   :  RATING  ERROR  POINTS  PLAYED   (%)
   1 Stockfish 130418 D15     :   431.6   69.3   342.5     400    86
   2 LC0 330_de60388a N714    :   194.3   78.2    41.5     200    21
   3 LC0 173_101eeb41 N2k     :     0.0   ----    16.0     200     8

White advantage = 39.03 +/- 19.63
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00
We can assume that LC0 173_101eeb41 N256k would have about the same strength as Stockfish 130418 D15:

Code: Select all

   # PLAYER                    :  RATING  ERROR  POINTS  PLAYED   (%)
   1 Stockfish 130418 D15      :   113.3   34.6   237.0     385    62
   2 LC0 173_101eeb41 N128k    :    60.8   51.2    79.0     185    43
   3 LC0 173_101eeb41 N64k     :     0.0   ----    69.0     200    35

White advantage = 32.51 +/- 14.00
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00
Therefore LC0 330_de60388a with 91429 playouts per move should be about 200 elo stronger than Stockfish 130418 D15.

91 429 playouts for 192x15 LCZero is about 256 000 playouts for 128x10 LCZero:

Code: Select all

   128x10     192x15
	
    1,000        357
    2,000        714
    4,000      1,429
    8,000      2,857
   16,000      5,714
   32,000     11,429
   64,000     22,857
  128,000     45,714
  256,000     91,429
  512,000    182,857
1,024,000    365,714
The new match is LC0 330_de60388a with 91429 playouts vs. Stockfish 130418 D15.
Last edited by majortom on Wed May 30, 2018 10:01 am, edited 1 time in total.

majortom
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by majortom » Wed May 30, 2018 9:06 am

Code: Select all

   # PLAYER                   :  RATING  ERROR  POINTS  PLAYED   (%)
   1 LC0 330_de60388a N91k    :   440.3  553.2     5.0       6    83
   2 Stockfish 130418 D15     :     0.0   ----     1.0       6    17

White advantage = -307.80 +/- 321.12
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00

Code: Select all

1 LC0 330_de60388a N91k :440.3 6 (+  4,=  2,-  0), 83.3 %

Stockfish 130418 D15    : 6 (+  4,=  2,-  0), 83.3 %

2 Stockfish 130418 D15  :  0.0 6 (+  0,=  2,-  4), 16.7 %

LC0 330_de60388a N91k   : 6 (+  0,=  2,-  4), 16.7 %
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Milos
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Re: LCZero progress

Post by Milos » Wed May 30, 2018 10:29 am

majortom wrote:
Wed May 30, 2018 8:59 am
Therefore LC0 330_de60388a with 91429 playouts per move should be about 200 elo stronger than Stockfish 130418 D15.

91 429 playouts for 192x15 LCZero is about 256 000 playouts for 128x10 LCZero:
So basically it is roughly 2 minutes per move if you use cudnn version of LC0 on 1060 vs. 50ms it takes SF to reach depth 15 on something like 4 cores.
2500x advantage in time for 200 Elo advantage. Lc0 seems to really reached SF in strength :lol: :lol: :lol:.

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