I used Elostat with a seed Elo of 2600 and here are her results against all opponents rated at 2500 Elo or more (filtered using SCID):Uri Blass wrote: ↑Thu Jan 17, 2019 11:45 am The problem of Hou yifan is not playing against weak opponents.
Hou Yifan does not do well enough against strong opponents to increase her rating.
Maybe it is because she does not invest a lot of time on chess but the facts are that hou Yifan is clearly weaker than the level that Judit Polgar got in the past.
Note also that Hou Yifan won against Judit when Judit was weaker than her best playing strength(not at the time Judit got to the top 10 players of the world).
Here are her last 2 tournaments when she played against strong opponents.
https://ratings.fide.com/individual_cal ... -05-01&t=0
https://ratings.fide.com/individual_cal ... -02-01&t=0
Code: Select all
Program Elo + - Games Score Av.Op. Draws
1 Carlsen, Magnus : 3044 154 322 7 92.9 % 2598 14.3 %
2 Xiu, Deshun : 2936 262 318 4 87.5 % 2598 25.0 %
3 Eljanov, Pavel : 2936 262 318 4 87.5 % 2598 25.0 %
4 Nakamura, Hikaru : 2899 169 126 20 85.0 % 2598 30.0 %
5 Vachier-Lagrave, Maxime : 2878 320 212 6 83.3 % 2598 33.3 %
6 Mamedov, Rauf : 2839 359 204 5 80.0 % 2598 40.0 %
7 Karjakin, Sergey : 2789 409 187 4 75.0 % 2598 50.0 %
8 Anand, Viswanathan : 2789 409 187 4 75.0 % 2598 50.0 %
9 Wang, Yue : 2789 241 137 8 75.0 % 2598 50.0 %
10 Svidler, Peter : 2789 409 187 4 75.0 % 2598 50.0 %
11 Korobov, Anton : 2789 409 675 4 75.0 % 2598 0.0 %
12 Ni, Hua : 2764 204 118 9 72.2 % 2598 55.6 %
13 Mamedyarov, Shakhriyar : 2764 204 118 9 72.2 % 2598 55.6 %
14 Wang, Hao : 2757 290 255 7 71.4 % 2598 28.6 %
15 Kramnik, Vladimir : 2750 169 159 17 70.6 % 2598 23.5 %
16 Van Wely, Loek : 2745 354 139 5 70.0 % 2598 60.0 %
17 Aronian, Levon : 2745 179 104 10 70.0 % 2598 60.0 %
18 Adams, Michael : 2745 354 139 5 70.0 % 2598 60.0 %
19 Harikrishna, P : 2745 354 139 5 70.0 % 2598 60.0 %
20 Caruana, Fabiano : 2736 102 99 37 68.9 % 2598 29.7 %
21 Naiditsch, Arkadij : 2718 155 138 12 66.7 % 2598 50.0 %
22 Ponomariov, Ruslan : 2718 131 115 15 66.7 % 2598 53.3 %
23 Ivanchuk, Vassily : 2718 268 112 6 66.7 % 2598 66.7 %
24 Ding, Liren : 2706 171 154 10 65.0 % 2598 50.0 %
25 Bu, Xiangzhi : 2695 148 76 11 63.6 % 2598 72.7 %
26 Zhou, Jianchao : 2687 136 70 12 62.5 % 2598 75.0 %
27 Kosteniuk, A : 2677 169 153 9 61.1 % 2598 55.6 %
28 Wei, Yi : 2668 340 80 5 60.0 % 2598 80.0 %
29 Karpov, Anatoly : 2664 136 132 16 59.4 % 2598 43.8 %
30 Short, Nigel D : 2662 166 160 11 59.1 % 2598 45.5 %
31 Sasikiran, Krishnan : 2656 230 215 6 58.3 % 2598 50.0 %
32 Azarov, Sergei : 2656 342 316 6 58.3 % 2598 16.7 %
33 Li, Chao : 2656 230 215 6 58.3 % 2598 50.0 %
34 So, Wesley : 2648 225 55 7 57.1 % 2598 85.7 %
35 Vitiugov, Nikita : 2648 148 144 14 57.1 % 2598 42.9 %
36 Giri, Anish : 2637 144 130 9 55.6 % 2598 66.7 %
37 Negi, Parimarjan : 2619 141 140 17 52.9 % 2598 35.3 %
38 Hou, Yifan : 2598 17 17 955 49.5 % 2602 43.1 %
39 Kosintseva, Tatiana : 2598 182 182 10 50.0 % 2598 40.0 %
40 Yu, Yangyi : 2598 130 130 11 50.0 % 2598 63.6 %
41 Shirov, Alexei : 2598 271 271 6 50.0 % 2598 33.3 %
42 Nepomniachtchi, Ian : 2598 220 220 7 50.0 % 2598 42.9 %
43 Harika, Dronavalli : 2575 74 86 15 46.7 % 2598 80.0 %
44 Kosteniuk, Alexandra : 2571 146 148 13 46.2 % 2598 46.2 %
45 Muzychuk, Anna : 2565 105 107 21 45.2 % 2598 52.4 %
46 Zhou, Weiqi : 2554 150 164 8 43.8 % 2598 62.5 %
47 Gunina, Valentina : 2548 183 189 14 42.9 % 2598 14.3 %
48 Ju, Wenjun : 2543 123 126 19 42.1 % 2598 42.1 %
49 Cmilyte, Viktorija : 2540 197 205 12 41.7 % 2598 16.7 %
50 Vallejo Pons, Francisco : 2540 215 230 6 41.7 % 2598 50.0 %
51 Lahno, Kateryna : 2532 149 153 16 40.6 % 2598 31.2 %
52 Li, Shilong : 2528 279 300 5 40.0 % 2598 40.0 %
53 Ruck, Robert : 2528 441 530 5 40.0 % 2598 0.0 %
54 Inarkiev, Ernesto : 2516 169 175 13 38.5 % 2598 30.8 %
55 Lagno, Kateryna : 2514 121 125 21 38.1 % 2598 38.1 %
56 Laznicka, Viktor : 2509 415 497 4 37.5 % 2598 25.0 %
57 Gareyev, Timur : 2509 415 497 4 37.5 % 2598 25.0 %
58 Navara, David : 2496 212 231 7 35.7 % 2598 42.9 %
59 Zhao, Xue : 2483 92 100 25 34.0 % 2598 52.0 %
60 Zhao, Jun : 2478 266 295 6 33.3 % 2598 33.3 %
61 Stefanova, Antoaneta : 2471 142 149 20 32.5 % 2598 25.0 %
62 Koneru, H : 2468 155 164 14 32.1 % 2598 35.7 %
63 Kosintseva, Nadezhda : 2451 139 354 5 30.0 % 2598 60.0 %
64 Sebag, Marie : 2451 362 453 5 30.0 % 2598 20.0 %
65 Najer, Evgeniy : 2451 139 354 5 30.0 % 2598 60.0 %
66 Koneru, Humpy : 2415 102 110 29 25.9 % 2598 37.9 %
67 Kravtsiv, Martyn : 2407 675 409 4 25.0 % 2598 0.0 %
68 Dzagnidze, Nana : 2380 139 155 18 22.2 % 2598 33.3 %
69 Muzychuk, Mariya : 2377 111 156 16 21.9 % 2598 43.8 %
70 Ushenina, Anna : 2366 198 225 12 20.8 % 2598 25.0 %
71 Khotenashvili, Bela : 2357 514 359 5 20.0 % 2598 0.0 %
72 Cramling, Pia : 2357 171 192 15 20.0 % 2598 26.7 %
73 Danielian, Elina : 2260 318 262 4 12.5 % 2598 25.0 %
74 Zhu, Chen : 2260 318 262 4 12.5 % 2598 25.0 %
There are some problems with the data, for instance I notice that Koneru, Humpy is also listed as Koneru, H which isn't proper. But I think she does pretty well against strong opponents.
Now, there are others who do not study as hard as they should and yet they do well. That charge was made against Capablanca, but I do not know how true it was.