Typing error should have said +/- 16krazyken wrote:I'm not understanding how you come to this number, but +/- 1 seems a bit small for the number of games you are talking about. Perhaps you want to post the original data?brianr wrote:When I run bayeselo on a combined pgn with 1,600 games from each of two Tinker versions (3,200 total),
the ratings shows an elo difference of about 26 +/- 1,Yesbrianr wrote: but the LOS (with the mm 1 option?) shows LOS of 98.
Is this saying there is a 98% chance that the version that is 26 elo higher is better?the 1 tells it to calculate the advantage of going first. use the advantage command to to see what that comes out to.brianr wrote: Exactly what does the mm 1 option do?
I recall an earlier post mentioning it, but I tried it without the mm 1 option and the results are the same.
Did not mean to mislead things by claiming +/- just 1!