TCEC Season 6 - Stage 3 now live

[syzygy]

24 rounds:

28

[Laskos]

Hello Kai:

According to these ratings and 10,000 simulations of the whole competition starting with Stage 3 to the Superfinal, to win this season:

Stockfish: 39%
Komodo:31%
Houdini: 25%
Fire: 3%
Rybka: 2%
Critter, Gull, Shredder: 0%

It seems really between the top 3.

It would be great that you will update your simulations taking in mind the true results of former rounds, just to see the variation of your forecasts. Thanks in advance!

Thank you very much for TCEC, Martin!

Regards from Spain.

Ajedrecista.

Yes, after the first RR out of 4 RR (28 games, 7 games each engine), to win this season:

Stockfish: 37%
Komodo:33%
Houdini: 26%
Fire: 1.5%
Rybka: 2.5%
Critter, Gull, Shredder: 0%

I think Gull is undervalued in these TCEC ratings.

[Martin Thoresen]

24 rounds:

28

That's right, will correct it for the next update.

[Jouni]

Great tournament. But way too complicated live page! Takes something like one minute to see page with 100/100 Mb/s connection . And many time it still won't display. I would prefer simple Winboard style page e.g board + evaluations . Remember KISS.

[IanO]

Halfway point:

Code: Select all

 N Engine           Rtng  Pts  Gm    SB St Ko Ho Cr Ry Gu Fi Sh

 1 Stockfish 080414 3135 10.0  14 40.00 ·· 01 11 =0 11 =1 == 11
 2 Komodo 1217      3133  9.5  14 38.75 10 ·· == =1 =1 == 1= 11
 3 Houdini 4        3132  9.5  14 28.50 00 == ·· =1 == 11 11 11
 4 Critter 1.6a     3031  7.0  14 32.00 =1 =0 =0 ·· == == 1= ==
 5 Rybka 4.1        3087  6.5  14 21.00 00 =0 == == ·· == == 11
 6 Gull A228        3021  6.0  14 24.00 =0 == 00 == == ·· 10 =1
 7 Fire 3.1         3096  5.0  14 23.75 == 0= 00 0= == 01 ·· ==
 8 Shredder 12      2921  2.5  14  9.00 00 00 00 == 00 =0 == ··

Quite the battle for fourth place, Critter has the edge with the recent upset victory over Stockfish.

[Vinvin]

Halfway point:

Code: Select all

 N Engine           Rtng  Pts  Gm    SB St Ko Ho Cr Ry Gu Fi Sh

 1 Stockfish 080414 3135 10.0  14 40.00 ·· 01 11 =0 11 =1 == 11
 2 Komodo 1217      3133  9.5  14 38.75 10 ·· == =1 =1 == 1= 11
 3 Houdini 4        3132  9.5  14 28.50 00 == ·· =1 == 11 11 11
 4 Critter 1.6a     3031  7.0  14 32.00 =1 =0 =0 ·· == == 1= ==
 5 Rybka 4.1        3087  6.5  14 21.00 00 =0 == == ·· == == 11
 6 Gull A228        3021  6.0  14 24.00 =0 == 00 == == ·· 10 =1
 7 Fire 3.1         3096  5.0  14 23.75 == 0= 00 0= == 01 ·· ==
 8 Shredder 12      2921  2.5  14  9.00 00 00 00 == 00 =0 == ··

Quite the battle for fourth place, Critter has the edge with the recent upset victory over Stockfish.

Rybka and Gull are close to the 4th seed !
I really hope Gull will be qualified to see new engine(s). Critter is about 2 years old now !

[Laskos]

Hello Kai:

According to these ratings and 10,000 simulations of the whole competition starting with Stage 3 to the Superfinal, to win this season:

Stockfish: 39%
Komodo:31%
Houdini: 25%
Fire: 3%
Rybka: 2%
Critter, Gull, Shredder: 0%

It seems really between the top 3.

It would be great that you will update your simulations taking in mind the true results of former rounds, just to see the variation of your forecasts. Thanks in advance!

Thank you very much for TCEC, Martin!

Regards from Spain.

Ajedrecista.

After the second RR out of 4 RR (56 games, 14 games each engine), to win this season:

Stockfish: 37%
Komodo: 32%
Houdini: 28.5%
Fire: 1%
Rybka: 1.5%
Critter, Gull, Shredder: 0%



To qualify for the stage 4:

Stockfish: 98%
Komodo: 97%
Houdini: 97%
Fire: 19%
Rybka: 48%
Critter: 28%
Gull: 13%
Shredder: 0%

[Martin Thoresen]

Standings after 16 of 28 rounds:

Code: Select all

 N Engine           Rtng  Pts  Gm    SB St  Ko  Ho  Cr  Ry  Gu  Fi  Sh 

 1 Stockfish 080414 3135 11.5  16 87.75 ··· 01= 111 =0  11  =1  ==  11 
 2 Komodo 1217      3133 11.0  16 78.00 10= ··· ==  =1  =1  ==  1=1 11 
 3 Houdini 4        3132  9.5  16 63.00 000 ==  ··· =1  ==  110 11  11 
 4 Critter 1.6a     3031  8.0  16 61.00 =1  =0  =0  ··· === ==  1== == 
 5 Rybka 4.1        3087  8.0  16 49.00 00  =0  ==  === ··· ==  ==  111
 6 Gull A228        3021  7.5  16 53.75 =0  ==  001 ==  ==  ··· 10  =1=
 7 Fire 3.1         3096  5.5  16 43.50 ==  0=0 00  0== ==  01  ··· == 
 8 Shredder 12      2921  3.0  16 21.00 00  00  00  ==  000 =0= ==  ···

[IanO]

Three quarters of the games played:

Code: Select all

 N Engine           Rtng  Pts  Gm     SB St  Ko  Ho  Cr  Fi  Gu  Ry  Sh 

 1 Stockfish 080414 3135 16.0  21 147.75 ··· 01= 111 =01 === =11 111 111
 2 Komodo 1217      3133 15.0  21 136.25 10= ··· === =1= 1=1 ==1 =11 111
 3 Houdini 4        3132 12.5  21 107.75 000 === ··· =11 110 110 === 111
 4 Critter 1.6a     3031 10.0  21 100.25 =10 =0= =00 ··· 1== ==1 === ===
 5 Fire 3.1         3096  9.5  21  91.50 === 0=0 001 0== ··· 01= ==1 ==1
 6 Gull A228        3021  9.0  21  83.75 =00 ==0 001 ==0 10= ··· ==1 =1=
 7 Rybka 4.1        3087  8.5  21  70.25 000 =00 === === ==0 ==0 ··· 111
 8 Shredder 12      2921  3.5  21  33.50 000 000 000 === ==0 =0= 000 ···

Fire starting to give chase to Critter, with an upset against Houdini.

[Isaac]

I think the following screenshot would be worth to share.
What a sadness that Gull might likely not make it!