Hi Andreas,
table-4 (endgame) and Fire:
Indeed good arguments!
Fire won 98 / 303 games = 32,34%
Stockfish won 61 / 249 games = 24,50%
Koivisto won 153 / 474 games = 32,28% ... I wrote it before ... a long time on 1 during FCP Tourney-2022 is still running.
For Ordo the situation is quite clearly.
But I can follow what you wrote here.
It's one statistic only Andreas!
You wrote:
Fire just not strong enough to finish the winnable games before!
Yes, that is the reason that in the gaming phase before Fire isn't one place 1.
Now, if Stockfish produced more games for phase 4 absolutely possible that more win games will be the final result. But in this case Stockfish is not on place 1 in phase 1 or 2. With other words ... the view must be in combination of all the gaming phases.
The higher the gaming phase that more complicated are statistics.
Very easy to do all that with the first gaming phase, not easy with the other gaming phases.
An other statistics for endgames Fire is on place 2.
I am looking to eval on move 80 for games go to move 100-300.
Search the games the eval is well adjusted.
And now I am looking how many win games Fire produced and how many win games Stockfish produced.
All the result is a new database and run Ordo again!
Here Stockfish have a very, very small advantage to Fire and Komodo.
Again, Elo in endgames ... many programs have around the same level.
Not really important Fire on 1, Stockfish on 1 or others on rank 1.
Differences are to small.
Much more interesting is to look in gaming phase 3.
You wrote in German language:
Traue keiner Statistik, die du nicht selbst gefälscht hast!
Da ist auch etwas dran!
Man kann vieles positiv darstellen was negativ ist.
Nur das macht jetzt für mich und meinem Zweck keinen Sinn.
Again to the book:
Lines to around 74 of 500 ECO codes goes very fast in endgames.
Such a statistic I made during FEOBOS is still running.
I am not a fan of most of the lines and working with a small trick.
All in (all ECO codes should be play) ... but
I gave C00-C99 a higher priority in the FEOBOS version I am using.
With the result that more E00-E99 games can be produced also.
With lesser D00-D99 lines I produced not so many of games, goes to fast in the endgame.
2-3% not more but a small trick I used!
Best
Frank