The FREEWARE Group Championship Matches Have Begun

Discussion of computer chess matches and engine tournaments.

Moderator: Ras

User avatar
geots
Posts: 4790
Joined: Sat Mar 11, 2006 12:42 am

GROUP 1 Championship Match- Begins Sunday or Monday!

Post by geots »

I am not quite sure if Sunday or Monday, but I will post again when it begins. It will be a 50-game match between Critter 1.6a 64-bit & Bouquet 1.6 pop64, for "all the marbles" so to speak. No doubt Critter will be the favorite- but that may or may not show up in the final tally. Stay tuned.


george
User avatar
Ajedrecista
Posts: 2132
Joined: Wed Jul 13, 2011 9:04 pm
Location: Madrid, Spain.

Re: GROUP 1 Championship Match - begins on Sunday or Monday!

Post by Ajedrecista »

Hello George!
geots wrote:I am not quite sure if Sunday or Monday, but I will post again when it begins. It will be a 50-game match between Critter 1.6a 64-bit & Bouquet 1.6 pop64, for "all the marbles" so to speak. No doubt Critter will be the favorite- but that may or may not show up in the final tally. Stay tuned.


george
Sorry for this long post. I took a look on CCRL 40/40 list and I found the following info:

Code: Select all

Critter 1.6a 64-bit (3104); 55.7 % of draws.
 Bouquet 1.6 64-bit (3062); 59 % of draws.
I did not find a popcnt version for Bouquet 1.6 so I take the rating of non-popcnt version.

I used Probabilities_in_a_trinomial_distribution again, under the next assumptions:

Code: Select all

(Rating difference) = 3104 - 3062 = 42 Elo.
(Probability of a draw) = (55.7 % + 59 %)/2 = 57.35 %.
Here are the probabilities for a 30-game match:

Code: Select all

Probabilities_in_a_trinomial_distribution, ® 2013.

--------------------------------------------------------------------
Probabilities of all possible scores in a match between two engines.
--------------------------------------------------------------------

Write down the number of games of the match (up to 50):

30

Write down the engines rating difference (between -800 Elo and 800 Elo):

42

Probability of a draw (%) between 0 % and  87.96 %

57.35

Write down the clock rate of the CPU (in GHz), only for timing the elapsed time of the calculations:

3

The results have been saved to Probabilities.txt file.

End of the calculations. Approximated elapsed time:  108 ms.

Thanks for using Probabilities_in_a_trinomial_distribution. Press Enter to exit.

Code: Select all

Probabilities for a match of 30 games (rounded up to 0.0001%):
 
Rating difference (rounded up to 0.01 Elo):   42.00 Elo.
 
Probability of a win  = W ~  27.3400 %
Probability of a draw = D ~  57.3500 %
Probability of a lose = L ~  15.3100 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 30.0/30
 
+30 = 0 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 30.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 29.5/30
 
+29 = 1 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 29.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 29.0/30
 
+28 = 2 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 0 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 29.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 28.5/30
 
+27 = 3 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 1 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 28.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 28.0/30
 
+26 = 4 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 2 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 0 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 28.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 27.5/30
 
+25 = 5 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 3 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 1 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 27.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 27.0/30
 
+24 = 6 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 4 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 2 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 0 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 27.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 26.5/30
 
+23 = 7 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 5 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 3 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 1 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 26.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 26.0/30
 
+22 = 8 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 6 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 4 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 2 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 0 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 26.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 25.5/30
 
+21 = 9 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 7 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 5 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 3 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 1 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 25.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 25.0/30
 
+20 =10 - 0
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+21 = 8 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 6 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 4 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 2 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 0 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 25.0 points out of 30:   0.0001 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 24.5/30
 
+19 =11 - 0
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+20 = 9 - 1
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+21 = 7 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 5 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 3 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 1 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 24.5 points out of 30:   0.0004 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 24.0/30
 
+18 =12 - 0
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+19 =10 - 1
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+20 = 8 - 2
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+21 = 6 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 4 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 2 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 0 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 24.0 points out of 30:   0.0017 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 23.5/30
 
+17 =13 - 0
P ~   0.0023 %
 
+18 =11 - 1
P ~   0.0026 %
 
+19 = 9 - 2
P ~   0.0009 %
 
+20 = 7 - 3
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+21 = 5 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 3 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 1 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 23.5 points out of 30:   0.0060 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 23.0/30
 
+16 =14 - 0
P ~   0.0059 %
 
+17 =12 - 1
P ~   0.0080 %
 
+18 =10 - 2
P ~   0.0038 %
 
+19 = 8 - 3
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+20 = 6 - 4
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+21 = 4 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 2 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 0 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 23.0 points out of 30:   0.0185 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 22.5/30
 
+15 =15 - 0
P ~   0.0132 %
 
+16 =13 - 1
P ~   0.0221 %
 
+17 =11 - 2
P ~   0.0129 %
 
+18 = 9 - 3
P ~   0.0033 %
 
+19 = 7 - 4
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+20 = 5 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 3 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 1 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 22.5 points out of 30:   0.0519 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 22.0/30
 
+14 =16 - 0
P ~   0.0260 %
 
+15 =14 - 1
P ~   0.0529 %
 
+16 =12 - 2
P ~   0.0383 %
 
+17 =10 - 3
P ~   0.0126 %
 
+18 = 8 - 4
P ~   0.0020 %
 
+19 = 6 - 5
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+20 = 4 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 2 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 0 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 22.0 points out of 30:   0.1319 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 21.5/30
 
+13 =17 - 0
P ~   0.0449 %
 
+14 =15 - 1
P ~   0.1109 %
 
+15 =13 - 2
P ~   0.0988 %
 
+16 =11 - 3
P ~   0.0409 %
 
+17 = 9 - 4
P ~   0.0084 %
 
+18 = 7 - 5
P ~   0.0009 %
 
+19 = 5 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 3 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 1 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 21.5 points out of 30:   0.3047 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 21.0/30
 
+12 =18 - 0
P ~   0.0679 %
 
+13 =16 - 1
P ~   0.2035 %
 
+14 =14 - 2
P ~   0.2220 %
 
+15 =12 - 3
P ~   0.1143 %
 
+16 =10 - 4
P ~   0.0300 %
 
+17 = 8 - 5
P ~   0.0040 %
 
+18 = 6 - 6
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+19 = 4 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 2 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 0 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 21.0 points out of 30:   0.6421 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 20.5/30
 
+11 =19 - 0
P ~   0.0900 %
 
+12 =17 - 1
P ~   0.3265 %
 
+13 =15 - 2
P ~   0.4347 %
 
+14 =13 - 3
P ~   0.2766 %
 
+15 =11 - 4
P ~   0.0915 %
 
+16 = 9 - 5
P ~   0.0160 %
 
+17 = 7 - 6
P ~   0.0014 %
 
+18 = 5 - 7
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+19 = 3 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 1 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 20.5 points out of 30:   1.2369 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 20.0/30
 
+10 =20 - 0
P ~   0.1039 %
 
+11 =18 - 1
P ~   0.4566 %
 
+12 =16 - 2
P ~   0.7409 %
 
+13 =14 - 3
P ~   0.5802 %
 
+14 =12 - 4
P ~   0.2400 %
 
+15 =10 - 5
P ~   0.0538 %
 
+16 = 8 - 6
P ~   0.0064 %
 
+17 = 6 - 7
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+18 = 4 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 2 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 0 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 20.0 points out of 30:   2.1821 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 19.5/30
 
+ 9 =21 - 0
P ~   0.1037 %
 
+10 =19 - 1
P ~   0.5545 %
 
+11 =17 - 2
P ~   1.0970 %
 
+12 =15 - 3
P ~   1.0548 %
 
+13 =13 - 4
P ~   0.5421 %
 
+14 =11 - 5
P ~   0.1538 %
 
+15 = 9 - 6
P ~   0.0239 %
 
+16 = 7 - 7
P ~   0.0020 %
 
+17 = 5 - 8
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+18 = 3 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 1 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 19.5 points out of 30:   3.5319 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 19.0/30
 
+ 8 =22 - 0
P ~   0.0890 %
 
+ 9 =20 - 1
P ~   0.5816 %
 
+10 =18 - 2
P ~   1.4063 %
 
+11 =16 - 3
P ~   1.6595 %
 
+12 =14 - 4
P ~   1.0560 %
 
+13 =12 - 5
P ~   0.3763 %
 
+14 =10 - 6
P ~   0.0753 %
 
+15 = 8 - 7
P ~   0.0082 %
 
+16 = 6 - 8
P ~   0.0005 %
 
+17 = 4 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 2 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 0 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 19.0 points out of 30:   5.2526 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 18.5/30
 
+ 7 =23 - 0
P ~   0.0650 %
 
+ 8 =21 - 1
P ~   0.5228 %
 
+ 9 =19 - 2
P ~   1.5526 %
 
+10 =17 - 3
P ~   2.2525 %
 
+11 =15 - 4
P ~   1.7721 %
 
+12 =13 - 5
P ~   0.7893 %
 
+13 =11 - 6
P ~   0.2009 %
 
+14 = 9 - 7
P ~   0.0287 %
 
+15 = 7 - 8
P ~   0.0022 %
 
+16 = 5 - 9
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+17 = 3 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 1 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 18.5 points out of 30:   7.1861 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 18.0/30
 
+ 6 =24 - 0
P ~   0.0397 %
 
+ 7 =22 - 1
P ~   0.3988 %
 
+ 8 =20 - 2
P ~   1.4655 %
 
+ 9 =18 - 3
P ~   2.6249 %
 
+10 =16 - 4
P ~   2.5556 %
 
+11 =14 - 5
P ~   1.4192 %
 
+12 =12 - 6
P ~   0.4565 %
 
+13 =10 - 7
P ~   0.0843 %
 
+14 = 8 - 8
P ~   0.0086 %
 
+15 = 6 - 9
P ~   0.0005 %
 
+16 = 4 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 2 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 0 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 18.0 points out of 30:   9.0537 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 17.5/30
 
+ 5 =25 - 0
P ~   0.0200 %
 
+ 6 =23 - 1
P ~   0.2546 %
 
+ 7 =21 - 2
P ~   1.1711 %
 
+ 8 =19 - 3
P ~   2.6082 %
 
+ 9 =17 - 4
P ~   3.1534 %
 
+10 =15 - 5
P ~   2.1831 %
 
+11 =13 - 6
P ~   0.8840 %
 
+12 =11 - 7
P ~   0.2089 %
 
+13 = 9 - 8
P ~   0.0281 %
 
+14 = 7 - 9
P ~   0.0020 %
 
+15 = 5 -10
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+16 = 3 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 1 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 17.5 points out of 30:  10.5136 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 17.0/30
 
+ 4 =26 - 0
P ~   0.0081 %
 
+ 5 =24 - 1
P ~   0.1335 %
 
+ 6 =22 - 2
P ~   0.7816 %
 
+ 7 =20 - 3
P ~   2.1885 %
 
+ 8 =18 - 4
P ~   3.3073 %
 
+ 9 =16 - 5
P ~   2.8622 %
 
+10 =14 - 6
P ~   1.4570 %
 
+11 =12 - 7
P ~   0.4383 %
 
+12 =10 - 8
P ~   0.0767 %
 
+13 = 8 - 9
P ~   0.0075 %
 
+14 = 6 -10
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+15 = 4 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 2 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 0 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 17.0 points out of 30:  11.2610 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 16.5/30
 
+ 3 =27 - 0
P ~   0.0025 %
 
+ 4 =25 - 1
P ~   0.0560 %
 
+ 5 =23 - 2
P ~   0.4277 %
 
+ 6 =21 - 3
P ~   1.5302 %
 
+ 7 =19 - 4
P ~   2.9211 %
 
+ 8 =17 - 5
P ~   3.1785 %
 
+ 9 =15 - 6
P ~   2.0375 %
 
+10 =13 - 7
P ~   0.7779 %
 
+11 =11 - 8
P ~   0.1755 %
 
+12 = 9 - 9
P ~   0.0227 %
 
+13 = 7 -10
P ~   0.0016 %
 
+14 = 5 -11
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+15 = 3 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 1 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 16.5 points out of 30:  11.1314 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 16.0/30
 
+ 2 =28 - 0
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+ 3 =26 - 1
P ~   0.0181 %
 
+ 4 =24 - 2
P ~   0.1869 %
 
+ 5 =22 - 3
P ~   0.8754 %
 
+ 6 =20 - 4
P ~   2.1446 %
 
+ 7 =18 - 5
P ~   2.9633 %
 
+ 8 =16 - 6
P ~   2.4041 %
 
+ 9 =14 - 7
P ~   1.1656 %
 
+10 =12 - 8
P ~   0.3375 %
 
+11 =10 - 9
P ~   0.0573 %
 
+12 = 8 -10
P ~   0.0055 %
 
+13 = 6 -11
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+14 = 4 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 2 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 0 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 16.0 points out of 30:  10.1591 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 15.5/30
 
+ 1 =29 - 0
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 2 =27 - 1
P ~   0.0042 %
 
+ 3 =25 - 2
P ~   0.0627 %
 
+ 4 =23 - 3
P ~   0.3992 %
 
+ 5 =21 - 4
P ~   1.2853 %
 
+ 6 =19 - 5
P ~   2.2901 %
 
+ 7 =17 - 6
P ~   2.3732 %
 
+ 8 =15 - 7
P ~   1.4670 %
 
+ 9 =13 - 8
P ~   0.5445 %
 
+10 =11 - 9
P ~   0.1201 %
 
+11 = 9 -10
P ~   0.0153 %
 
+12 = 7 -11
P ~   0.0011 %
 
+13 = 5 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 3 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 1 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 15.5 points out of 30:   8.5629 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 15.0/30
 
+ 0 =30 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =28 - 1
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+ 2 =26 - 2
P ~   0.0152 %
 
+ 3 =24 - 3
P ~   0.1396 %
 
+ 4 =22 - 4
P ~   0.6128 %
 
+ 5 =20 - 5
P ~   1.4411 %
 
+ 6 =18 - 6
P ~   1.9360 %
 
+ 7 =16 - 7
P ~   1.5386 %
 
+ 8 =14 - 8
P ~   0.7343 %
 
+ 9 =12 - 9
P ~   0.2100 %
 
+10 =10 -10
P ~   0.0353 %
 
+11 = 8 -11
P ~   0.0033 %
 
+12 = 6 -12
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+13 = 4 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 2 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 0 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 15.0 points out of 30:   6.6669 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 14.5/30
 
+ 0 =29 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =27 - 2
P ~   0.0024 %
 
+ 2 =25 - 3
P ~   0.0351 %
 
+ 3 =23 - 4
P ~   0.2235 %
 
+ 4 =21 - 5
P ~   0.7198 %
 
+ 5 =19 - 6
P ~   1.2824 %
 
+ 6 =17 - 7
P ~   1.3290 %
 
+ 7 =15 - 8
P ~   0.8215 %
 
+ 8 =13 - 9
P ~   0.3049 %
 
+ 9 =11 -10
P ~   0.0673 %
 
+10 = 9 -11
P ~   0.0086 %
 
+11 = 7 -12
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+12 = 5 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 3 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 1 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 14.5 points out of 30:   4.7951 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 14.0/30
 
+ 0 =28 - 2
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 1 =26 - 3
P ~   0.0057 %
 
+ 2 =24 - 4
P ~   0.0586 %
 
+ 3 =22 - 5
P ~   0.2745 %
 
+ 4 =20 - 6
P ~   0.6725 %
 
+ 5 =18 - 7
P ~   0.9292 %
 
+ 6 =16 - 8
P ~   0.7539 %
 
+ 7 =14 - 9
P ~   0.3655 %
 
+ 8 =12 -10
P ~   0.1058 %
 
+ 9 =10 -11
P ~   0.0180 %
 
+10 = 8 -12
P ~   0.0017 %
 
+11 = 6 -13
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+12 = 4 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 2 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 0 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 14.0 points out of 30:   3.1857 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 13.5/30
 
+ 0 =27 - 3
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+ 1 =25 - 4
P ~   0.0098 %
 
+ 2 =23 - 5
P ~   0.0751 %
 
+ 3 =21 - 6
P ~   0.2687 %
 
+ 4 =19 - 7
P ~   0.5130 %
 
+ 5 =17 - 8
P ~   0.5581 %
 
+ 6 =15 - 9
P ~   0.3578 %
 
+ 7 =13 -10
P ~   0.1366 %
 
+ 8 =11 -11
P ~   0.0308 %
 
+ 9 = 9 -12
P ~   0.0040 %
 
+10 = 7 -13
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+11 = 5 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 3 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 1 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 13.5 points out of 30:   1.9547 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 13.0/30
 
+ 0 =26 - 4
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+ 1 =24 - 5
P ~   0.0131 %
 
+ 2 =22 - 6
P ~   0.0769 %
 
+ 3 =20 - 7
P ~   0.2152 %
 
+ 4 =18 - 8
P ~   0.3252 %
 
+ 5 =16 - 9
P ~   0.2814 %
 
+ 6 =14 -10
P ~   0.1433 %
 
+ 7 =12 -11
P ~   0.0431 %
 
+ 8 =10 -12
P ~   0.0075 %
 
+ 9 = 8 -13
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+10 = 6 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 4 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 2 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 0 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 13.0 points out of 30:   1.1073 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 12.5/30
 
+ 0 =25 - 5
P ~   0.0011 %
 
+ 1 =23 - 6
P ~   0.0140 %
 
+ 2 =21 - 7
P ~   0.0645 %
 
+ 3 =19 - 8
P ~   0.1436 %
 
+ 4 =17 - 9
P ~   0.1736 %
 
+ 5 =15 -10
P ~   0.1202 %
 
+ 6 =13 -11
P ~   0.0487 %
 
+ 7 =11 -12
P ~   0.0115 %
 
+ 8 = 9 -13
P ~   0.0015 %
 
+ 9 = 7 -14
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+10 = 5 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 3 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 1 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 12.5 points out of 30:   0.5789 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 12.0/30
 
+ 0 =24 - 6
P ~   0.0012 %
 
+ 1 =22 - 7
P ~   0.0123 %
 
+ 2 =20 - 8
P ~   0.0452 %
 
+ 3 =18 - 9
P ~   0.0809 %
 
+ 4 =16 -10
P ~   0.0788 %
 
+ 5 =14 -11
P ~   0.0438 %
 
+ 6 =12 -12
P ~   0.0141 %
 
+ 7 =10 -13
P ~   0.0026 %
 
+ 8 = 8 -14
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 9 = 6 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 4 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 2 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 0 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 12.0 points out of 30:   0.2792 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 11.5/30
 
+ 0 =23 - 7
P ~   0.0011 %
 
+ 1 =21 - 8
P ~   0.0090 %
 
+ 2 =19 - 9
P ~   0.0268 %
 
+ 3 =17 -10
P ~   0.0389 %
 
+ 4 =15 -11
P ~   0.0306 %
 
+ 5 =13 -12
P ~   0.0136 %
 
+ 6 =11 -13
P ~   0.0035 %
 
+ 7 = 9 -14
P ~   0.0005 %
 
+ 8 = 7 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 5 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 3 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 1 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 11.5 points out of 30:   0.1241 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 11.0/30
 
+ 0 =22 - 8
P ~   0.0009 %
 
+ 1 =20 - 9
P ~   0.0056 %
 
+ 2 =18 -10
P ~   0.0136 %
 
+ 3 =16 -11
P ~   0.0160 %
 
+ 4 =14 -12
P ~   0.0102 %
 
+ 5 =12 -13
P ~   0.0036 %
 
+ 6 =10 -14
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+ 7 = 8 -15
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 8 = 6 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 4 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 2 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 0 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 11.0 points out of 30:   0.0508 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 10.5/30
 
+ 0 =21 - 9
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+ 1 =19 -10
P ~   0.0030 %
 
+ 2 =17 -11
P ~   0.0059 %
 
+ 3 =15 -12
P ~   0.0057 %
 
+ 4 =13 -13
P ~   0.0029 %
 
+ 5 =11 -14
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+ 6 = 9 -15
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 7 = 7 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 5 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 3 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 1 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 10.5 points out of 30:   0.0191 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 10.0/30
 
+ 0 =20 -10
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 1 =18 -11
P ~   0.0014 %
 
+ 2 =16 -12
P ~   0.0022 %
 
+ 3 =14 -13
P ~   0.0018 %
 
+ 4 =12 -14
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+ 5 =10 -15
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 6 = 8 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 6 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 4 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 2 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 0 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 10.0 points out of 30:   0.0066 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  9.5/30
 
+ 0 =19 -11
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 1 =17 -12
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+ 2 =15 -13
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+ 3 =13 -14
P ~   0.0005 %
 
+ 4 =11 -15
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 5 = 9 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 7 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 5 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 3 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 1 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  9.5 points out of 30:   0.0021 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  9.0/30
 
+ 0 =18 -12
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 1 =16 -13
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 2 =14 -14
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 3 =12 -15
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 4 =10 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 8 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 6 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 4 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 2 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 0 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  9.0 points out of 30:   0.0006 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  8.5/30
 
+ 0 =17 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =15 -14
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 2 =13 -15
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 3 =11 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 9 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 7 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 5 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 3 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 1 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  8.5 points out of 30:   0.0002 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  8.0/30
 
+ 0 =16 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =14 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =12 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =10 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 8 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 6 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 4 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 2 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 0 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  8.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  7.5/30
 
+ 0 =15 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =13 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =11 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 9 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 7 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 5 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 3 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 1 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  7.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  7.0/30
 
+ 0 =14 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =12 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =10 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 8 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 6 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 4 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 2 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 0 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  7.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  6.5/30
 
+ 0 =13 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =11 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 9 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 7 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 5 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 3 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 1 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  6.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  6.0/30
 
+ 0 =12 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =10 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 8 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 6 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 4 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 2 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 0 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  6.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  5.5/30
 
+ 0 =11 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 9 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 7 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 5 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 3 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 1 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  5.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  5.0/30
 
+ 0 =10 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 8 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 6 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 4 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 2 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 0 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  5.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  4.5/30
 
+ 0 = 9 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 7 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 5 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 3 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 1 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  4.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  4.0/30
 
+ 0 = 8 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 6 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 4 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 2 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 0 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  4.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  3.5/30
 
+ 0 = 7 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 5 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 3 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 1 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  3.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  3.0/30
 
+ 0 = 6 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 4 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 2 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 0 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  3.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  2.5/30
 
+ 0 = 5 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 3 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 1 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  2.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  2.0/30
 
+ 0 = 4 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 2 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 0 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  2.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  1.5/30
 
+ 0 = 3 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 1 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  1.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  1.0/30
 
+ 0 = 2 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 0 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  1.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  0.5/30
 
+ 0 = 1 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  0.5 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  0.0/30
 
+ 0 = 0 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  0.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
Summarizing (hoping no typos):

Code: Select all

Prob.(Critter wins the 30-game match) ~ 81.2286 %.
                    Prob.(tied match) ~  6.6669 %.
Prob.(Bouquet wins the 30-game match) ~ 12.1044 %.
Maybe I should add some code that will do the sums of the last code box automatically. Due to roundings, the sum of the probabilities of the last code box is 99.9999 % instead of 100 %. My intention is to release this tool and another one (a kind of EloSTAT (without error bars and other interesting statistics, just the plain ratings) for Round Robin tournaments that do not need PGN input files, that I wrote back in 2012) together with my other four Fortran programmes... the release date should be in the second half of February, when I will not be as busy as now. I have to write the Readme files of these two unreleased programmes.

I stay tuned! Thank you very much for this huge freeware tournament.

Regards from Spain.

Ajedrecista.
User avatar
Ajedrecista
Posts: 2132
Joined: Wed Jul 13, 2011 9:04 pm
Location: Madrid, Spain.

Re: GROUP 1 Championship Match - begins on Sunday or Monday!

Post by Ajedrecista »

Hello again:
Ajedrecista wrote:Summarizing (hoping no typos):

Code: Select all

Prob.(Critter wins the 30-game match) ~ 81.2286 %. 
                    Prob.(tied match) ~  6.6669 %. 
Prob.(Bouquet wins the 30-game match) ~ 12.1044 %.
Maybe I should add some code that will do the sums of the last code box automatically. Due to roundings, the sum of the probabilities of the last code box is 99.9999 % instead of 100 %.
Only a quick update: I have just added this piece of code (it was trivial, only a few lines) and I made some minor cosmetic changes to what is printed in the cmd window:

Code: Select all

Probabilities_in_a_trinomial_distribution, ® 2013.

--------------------------------------------------------------------
Probabilities of all possible scores in a match between two engines.
--------------------------------------------------------------------

Write down the number of games of the match (up to 50):

30

Write down the engines rating difference (between -800 Elo and 800 Elo).
Elo(first engine) - Elo(second engine):

42

Write down the probability of a draw (%) between 0 % and  87.96 %

57.35

Write down the clock rate of the CPU (in GHz), only for timing the elapsed time of the calculations:

3

End of the calculations. The results will be saved into Probabilities.txt at the same path of this programme.

The results have been successfully saved into Probabilities.txt file.

Approximated total elapsed time:  115 ms.

Thanks for using Probabilities_in_a_trinomial_distribution. Press Enter to exit.

I hope it is clearer now. Here is the end of the new Probabilities.txt output file:

Code: Select all

[...]

Points:  0.0/30
 
+ 0 = 0 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  0.0 points out of 30:   0.0000 %
 
--------------------------------------------------------------
 
                          SUMMARIZE:
 
 Probability that the first engine wins the match ~  81.2286 %
                      Probability of a tied match ~   6.6669 %
Probability that the second engine wins the match ~  12.1045 %
So I do not have to sum again probabilities by hand in a non-started match to know the accumulated probabilities of win, draw or lose the match for the first engine. Other thing is when the match has started and the score is not tied... then I have to sum probabilities by hand as before, and simply ignore this new end of the output file. The rest of the programme, calculations and printed results remain unchanged.

Regards from Spain.

Ajedrecista.
User avatar
geots
Posts: 4790
Joined: Sat Mar 11, 2006 12:42 am

Re: GROUP 1 Championship Match - begins on Sunday or Monday!

Post by geots »

Jesus, I don't know how much it matters in your figures, but take note that this match for Group 1 championship is 50 games!


Thanks,

george
User avatar
Ajedrecista
Posts: 2132
Joined: Wed Jul 13, 2011 9:04 pm
Location: Madrid, Spain.

Re: GROUP 1 Championship Match - begins on Sunday or Monday!

Post by Ajedrecista »

Hi again:
geots wrote:Jesus, I don't know how much it matters in your figures, but take note that this match for Group 1 championship is 50 games!


Thanks,

george
I missed it! Of course more games will benefit the stronger engine, Critter in this case. Here I go:

Code: Select all

Probabilities_in_a_trinomial_distribution, ® 2013.

--------------------------------------------------------------------
Probabilities of all possible scores in a match between two engines.
--------------------------------------------------------------------

Write down the number of games of the match (up to 50):

50

Write down the engines rating difference (between -800 Elo and 800 Elo).
Elo(first engine) - Elo(second engine):

42

Write down the probability of a draw (%) between 0 % and  87.96 %

57.35

Write down the clock rate of the CPU (in GHz), only for timing the elapsed time of the calculations:

3

End of the calculations. The results will be saved into Probabilities.txt at the same path of this programme.

The results have been successfully saved into Probabilities.txt file.

Approximated total elapsed time:  258 ms.

Thanks for using Probabilities_in_a_trinomial_distribution. Press Enter to exit.

Code: Select all

Probabilities for a match of 50 games (rounded up to 0.0001%):
 
Rating difference (rounded up to 0.01 Elo):   42.00 Elo.
 
Probability of a win  = W ~  27.3400 %
Probability of a draw = D ~  57.3500 %
Probability of a lose = L ~  15.3100 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 50.0/50
 
+50 = 0 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 50.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 49.5/50
 
+49 = 1 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 49.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 49.0/50
 
+48 = 2 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+49 = 0 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 49.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 48.5/50
 
+47 = 3 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+48 = 1 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 48.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 48.0/50
 
+46 = 4 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+47 = 2 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+48 = 0 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 48.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 47.5/50
 
+45 = 5 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+46 = 3 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+47 = 1 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 47.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 47.0/50
 
+44 = 6 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+45 = 4 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+46 = 2 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+47 = 0 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 47.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 46.5/50
 
+43 = 7 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+44 = 5 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+45 = 3 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+46 = 1 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 46.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 46.0/50
 
+42 = 8 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+43 = 6 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+44 = 4 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+45 = 2 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+46 = 0 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 46.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 45.5/50
 
+41 = 9 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+42 = 7 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+43 = 5 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+44 = 3 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+45 = 1 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 45.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 45.0/50
 
+40 =10 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+41 = 8 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+42 = 6 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+43 = 4 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+44 = 2 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+45 = 0 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 45.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 44.5/50
 
+39 =11 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 9 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+41 = 7 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+42 = 5 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+43 = 3 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+44 = 1 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 44.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 44.0/50
 
+38 =12 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 =10 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 8 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+41 = 6 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+42 = 4 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+43 = 2 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+44 = 0 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 44.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 43.5/50
 
+37 =13 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 =11 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 9 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 7 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+41 = 5 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+42 = 3 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+43 = 1 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 43.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 43.0/50
 
+36 =14 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 =12 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 =10 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 8 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 6 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+41 = 4 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+42 = 2 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+43 = 0 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 43.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 42.5/50
 
+35 =15 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 =13 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 =11 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 9 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 7 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 5 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+41 = 3 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+42 = 1 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 42.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 42.0/50
 
+34 =16 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 =14 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 =12 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 =10 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 8 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 6 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 4 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+41 = 2 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+42 = 0 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 42.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 41.5/50
 
+33 =17 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 =15 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 =13 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 =11 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 9 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 7 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 5 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 3 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+41 = 1 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 41.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 41.0/50
 
+32 =18 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 =16 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 =14 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 =12 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 =10 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 8 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 6 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 4 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 2 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+41 = 0 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 41.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 40.5/50
 
+31 =19 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 =17 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 =15 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 =13 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 =11 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 9 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 7 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 5 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 3 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 1 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 40.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 40.0/50
 
+30 =20 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 =18 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 =16 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 =14 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 =12 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 =10 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 8 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 6 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 4 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 2 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+40 = 0 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 40.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 39.5/50
 
+29 =21 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 =19 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 =17 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 =15 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 =13 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 =11 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 9 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 7 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 5 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 3 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 1 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 39.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 39.0/50
 
+28 =22 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 =20 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 =18 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 =16 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 =14 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 =12 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 =10 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 8 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 6 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 4 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 2 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+39 = 0 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 39.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 38.5/50
 
+27 =23 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 =21 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 =19 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 =17 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 =15 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 =13 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 =11 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 9 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 7 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 5 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 3 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 1 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 38.5 points out of 50:   0.0001 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 38.0/50
 
+26 =24 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 =22 - 1
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+28 =20 - 2
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+29 =18 - 3
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+30 =16 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 =14 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 =12 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 =10 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 8 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 6 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 4 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 2 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+38 = 0 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 38.0 points out of 50:   0.0004 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 37.5/50
 
+25 =25 - 0
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+26 =23 - 1
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+27 =21 - 2
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+28 =19 - 3
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+29 =17 - 4
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+30 =15 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 =13 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 =11 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 9 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 7 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 5 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 3 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 1 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 37.5 points out of 50:   0.0010 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 37.0/50
 
+24 =26 - 0
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+25 =24 - 1
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+26 =22 - 2
P ~   0.0009 %
 
+27 =20 - 3
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+28 =18 - 4
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+29 =16 - 5
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+30 =14 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 =12 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 =10 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 8 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 6 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 4 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 2 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+37 = 0 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 37.0 points out of 50:   0.0027 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 36.5/50
 
+23 =27 - 0
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+24 =25 - 1
P ~   0.0014 %
 
+25 =23 - 2
P ~   0.0021 %
 
+26 =21 - 3
P ~   0.0017 %
 
+27 =19 - 4
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+28 =17 - 5
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+29 =15 - 6
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+30 =13 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 =11 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 9 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 7 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 5 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 3 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 1 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 36.5 points out of 50:   0.0067 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 36.0/50
 
+22 =28 - 0
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+23 =26 - 1
P ~   0.0026 %
 
+24 =24 - 2
P ~   0.0045 %
 
+25 =22 - 3
P ~   0.0042 %
 
+26 =20 - 4
P ~   0.0024 %
 
+27 =18 - 5
P ~   0.0009 %
 
+28 =16 - 6
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+29 =14 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 =12 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 =10 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 8 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 6 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 4 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 2 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+36 = 0 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 36.0 points out of 50:   0.0155 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 35.5/50
 
+21 =29 - 0
P ~   0.0010 %
 
+22 =27 - 1
P ~   0.0047 %
 
+23 =25 - 2
P ~   0.0091 %
 
+24 =23 - 3
P ~   0.0096 %
 
+25 =21 - 4
P ~   0.0062 %
 
+26 =19 - 5
P ~   0.0026 %
 
+27 =17 - 6
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+28 =15 - 7
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+29 =13 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 =11 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 9 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 7 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 5 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 3 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 1 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 35.5 points out of 50:   0.0340 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 35.0/50
 
+20 =30 - 0
P ~   0.0015 %
 
+21 =28 - 1
P ~   0.0077 %
 
+22 =26 - 2
P ~   0.0169 %
 
+23 =24 - 3
P ~   0.0202 %
 
+24 =22 - 4
P ~   0.0148 %
 
+25 =20 - 5
P ~   0.0070 %
 
+26 =18 - 6
P ~   0.0022 %
 
+27 =16 - 7
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+28 =14 - 8
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+29 =12 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 =10 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 8 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 6 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 4 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 2 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+35 = 0 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 35.0 points out of 50:   0.0707 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 34.5/50
 
+19 =31 - 0
P ~   0.0020 %
 
+20 =29 - 1
P ~   0.0117 %
 
+21 =27 - 2
P ~   0.0288 %
 
+22 =25 - 3
P ~   0.0390 %
 
+23 =23 - 4
P ~   0.0324 %
 
+24 =21 - 5
P ~   0.0174 %
 
+25 =19 - 6
P ~   0.0062 %
 
+26 =17 - 7
P ~   0.0015 %
 
+27 =15 - 8
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+28 =13 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 =11 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 9 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 7 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 5 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 3 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 1 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 34.5 points out of 50:   0.1393 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 34.0/50
 
+18 =32 - 0
P ~   0.0025 %
 
+19 =30 - 1
P ~   0.0164 %
 
+20 =28 - 2
P ~   0.0454 %
 
+21 =26 - 3
P ~   0.0693 %
 
+22 =24 - 4
P ~   0.0651 %
 
+23 =22 - 5
P ~   0.0398 %
 
+24 =20 - 6
P ~   0.0162 %
 
+25 =18 - 7
P ~   0.0045 %
 
+26 =16 - 8
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+27 =14 - 9
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+28 =12 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 =10 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 8 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 6 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 4 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 2 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+34 = 0 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 34.0 points out of 50:   0.2600 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 33.5/50
 
+17 =33 - 0
P ~   0.0028 %
 
+18 =31 - 1
P ~   0.0211 %
 
+19 =29 - 2
P ~   0.0656 %
 
+20 =27 - 3
P ~   0.1130 %
 
+21 =25 - 4
P ~   0.1202 %
 
+22 =23 - 5
P ~   0.0834 %
 
+23 =21 - 6
P ~   0.0389 %
 
+24 =19 - 7
P ~   0.0124 %
 
+25 =17 - 8
P ~   0.0027 %
 
+26 =15 - 9
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+27 =13 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 =11 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 9 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 7 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 5 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 3 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 1 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 33.5 points out of 50:   0.4606 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 33.0/50
 
+16 =34 - 0
P ~   0.0030 %
 
+17 =32 - 1
P ~   0.0249 %
 
+18 =30 - 2
P ~   0.0872 %
 
+19 =28 - 3
P ~   0.1693 %
 
+20 =26 - 4
P ~   0.2036 %
 
+21 =24 - 5
P ~   0.1604 %
 
+22 =22 - 6
P ~   0.0854 %
 
+23 =20 - 7
P ~   0.0312 %
 
+24 =18 - 8
P ~   0.0079 %
 
+25 =16 - 9
P ~   0.0014 %
 
+26 =14 -10
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+27 =12 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 =10 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 8 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 6 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 4 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 2 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+33 = 0 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 33.0 points out of 50:   0.7743 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 32.5/50
 
+15 =35 - 0
P ~   0.0028 %
 
+16 =33 - 1
P ~   0.0269 %
 
+17 =31 - 2
P ~   0.1062 %
 
+18 =29 - 3
P ~   0.2327 %
 
+19 =27 - 4
P ~   0.3164 %
 
+20 =25 - 5
P ~   0.2827 %
 
+21 =23 - 6
P ~   0.1713 %
 
+22 =21 - 7
P ~   0.0716 %
 
+23 =19 - 8
P ~   0.0208 %
 
+24 =17 - 9
P ~   0.0042 %
 
+25 =15 -10
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+26 =13 -11
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+27 =11 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 9 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 7 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 5 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 3 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 1 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 32.5 points out of 50:   1.2363 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 32.0/50
 
+14 =36 - 0
P ~   0.0025 %
 
+15 =34 - 1
P ~   0.0265 %
 
+16 =32 - 2
P ~   0.1183 %
 
+17 =30 - 3
P ~   0.2929 %
 
+18 =28 - 4
P ~   0.4504 %
 
+19 =26 - 5
P ~   0.4561 %
 
+20 =24 - 6
P ~   0.3144 %
 
+21 =22 - 7
P ~   0.1503 %
 
+22 =20 - 8
P ~   0.0502 %
 
+23 =18 - 9
P ~   0.0117 %
 
+24 =16 -10
P ~   0.0019 %
 
+25 =14 -11
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+26 =12 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 =10 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 8 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 6 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 4 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 2 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+32 = 0 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 32.0 points out of 50:   1.8755 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 31.5/50
 
+13 =37 - 0
P ~   0.0020 %
 
+14 =35 - 1
P ~   0.0238 %
 
+15 =33 - 2
P ~   0.1203 %
 
+16 =31 - 3
P ~   0.3369 %
 
+17 =29 - 4
P ~   0.5864 %
 
+18 =27 - 5
P ~   0.6733 %
 
+19 =25 - 6
P ~   0.5277 %
 
+20 =23 - 7
P ~   0.2878 %
 
+21 =21 - 8
P ~   0.1103 %
 
+22 =19 - 9
P ~   0.0298 %
 
+23 =17 -10
P ~   0.0056 %
 
+24 =15 -11
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+25 =13 -12
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+26 =11 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 9 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 7 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 5 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 3 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 1 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 31.5 points out of 50:   2.7048 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 31.0/50
 
+12 =38 - 0
P ~   0.0014 %
 
+13 =36 - 1
P ~   0.0194 %
 
+14 =34 - 2
P ~   0.1114 %
 
+15 =32 - 3
P ~   0.3534 %
 
+16 =30 - 4
P ~   0.6971 %
 
+17 =28 - 5
P ~   0.9080 %
 
+18 =26 - 6
P ~   0.8089 %
 
+19 =24 - 7
P ~   0.5031 %
 
+20 =22 - 8
P ~   0.2209 %
 
+21 =20 - 9
P ~   0.0687 %
 
+22 =18 -10
P ~   0.0151 %
 
+23 =16 -11
P ~   0.0023 %
 
+24 =14 -12
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+25 =12 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 =10 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 8 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 6 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 4 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 2 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+31 = 0 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 31.0 points out of 50:   3.7099 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 30.5/50
 
+11 =39 - 0
P ~   0.0009 %
 
+12 =37 - 1
P ~   0.0143 %
 
+13 =35 - 2
P ~   0.0934 %
 
+14 =33 - 3
P ~   0.3369 %
 
+15 =31 - 4
P ~   0.7547 %
 
+16 =29 - 5
P ~   1.1165 %
 
+17 =27 - 6
P ~   1.1312 %
 
+18 =25 - 7
P ~   0.8020 %
 
+19 =23 - 8
P ~   0.4029 %
 
+20 =21 - 9
P ~   0.1441 %
 
+21 =19 -10
P ~   0.0367 %
 
+22 =17 -11
P ~   0.0066 %
 
+23 =15 -12
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+24 =13 -13
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+25 =11 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 9 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 7 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 5 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 3 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 1 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 30.5 points out of 50:   4.8412 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 30.0/50
 
+10 =40 - 0
P ~   0.0005 %
 
+11 =38 - 1
P ~   0.0095 %
 
+12 =36 - 2
P ~   0.0708 %
 
+13 =34 - 3
P ~   0.2910 %
 
+14 =32 - 4
P ~   0.7421 %
 
+15 =30 - 5
P ~   1.2491 %
 
+16 =28 - 6
P ~   1.4406 %
 
+17 =26 - 7
P ~   1.1647 %
 
+18 =24 - 8
P ~   0.6691 %
 
+19 =22 - 9
P ~   0.2749 %
 
+20 =20 -10
P ~   0.0808 %
 
+21 =18 -11
P ~   0.0169 %
 
+22 =16 -12
P ~   0.0025 %
 
+23 =14 -13
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+24 =12 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 =10 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 8 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 6 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 4 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 2 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+30 = 0 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 30.0 points out of 50:   6.0128 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 29.5/50
 
+ 9 =41 - 0
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+10 =39 - 1
P ~   0.0056 %
 
+11 =37 - 2
P ~   0.0482 %
 
+12 =35 - 3
P ~   0.2267 %
 
+13 =33 - 4
P ~   0.6604 %
 
+14 =31 - 5
P ~   1.2678 %
 
+15 =29 - 6
P ~   1.6673 %
 
+16 =27 - 7
P ~   1.5383 %
 
+17 =25 - 8
P ~   1.0105 %
 
+18 =23 - 9
P ~   0.4763 %
 
+19 =21 -10
P ~   0.1614 %
 
+20 =19 -11
P ~   0.0392 %
 
+21 =17 -12
P ~   0.0068 %
 
+22 =15 -13
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+23 =13 -14
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+24 =11 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 9 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 7 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 5 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 3 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 1 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 29.5 points out of 50:   7.1097 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 29.0/50
 
+ 8 =42 - 0
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 9 =40 - 1
P ~   0.0029 %
 
+10 =38 - 2
P ~   0.0292 %
 
+11 =36 - 3
P ~   0.1585 %
 
+12 =34 - 4
P ~   0.5296 %
 
+13 =32 - 5
P ~   1.1635 %
 
+14 =30 - 6
P ~   1.7487 %
 
+15 =28 - 7
P ~   1.8439 %
 
+16 =26 - 8
P ~   1.3860 %
 
+17 =24 - 9
P ~   0.7494 %
 
+18 =22 -10
P ~   0.2925 %
 
+19 =20 -11
P ~   0.0823 %
 
+20 =18 -12
P ~   0.0166 %
 
+21 =16 -13
P ~   0.0024 %
 
+22 =14 -14
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+23 =12 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 =10 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 8 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 6 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 4 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 2 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+29 = 0 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 29.0 points out of 50:   8.0059 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 28.5/50
 
+ 7 =43 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =41 - 1
P ~   0.0014 %
 
+ 9 =39 - 2
P ~   0.0157 %
 
+10 =37 - 3
P ~   0.0989 %
 
+11 =35 - 4
P ~   0.3809 %
 
+12 =33 - 5
P ~   0.9615 %
 
+13 =31 - 6
P ~   1.6566 %
 
+14 =29 - 7
P ~   2.0007 %
 
+15 =27 - 8
P ~   1.7229 %
 
+16 =25 - 9
P ~   1.0689 %
 
+17 =23 -10
P ~   0.4801 %
 
+18 =21 -11
P ~   0.1561 %
 
+19 =19 -12
P ~   0.0366 %
 
+20 =17 -13
P ~   0.0061 %
 
+21 =15 -14
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+22 =13 -15
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+23 =11 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 9 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 7 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 5 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 3 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 1 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 28.5 points out of 50:   8.5872 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 28.0/50
 
+ 6 =44 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =42 - 1
P ~   0.0005 %
 
+ 8 =40 - 2
P ~   0.0074 %
 
+ 9 =38 - 3
P ~   0.0546 %
 
+10 =36 - 4
P ~   0.2441 %
 
+11 =34 - 5
P ~   0.7118 %
 
+12 =32 - 6
P ~   1.4117 %
 
+13 =30 - 7
P ~   1.9585 %
 
+14 =28 - 8
P ~   1.9361 %
 
+15 =26 - 9
P ~   1.3798 %
 
+16 =24 -10
P ~   0.7134 %
 
+17 =22 -11
P ~   0.2680 %
 
+18 =20 -12
P ~   0.0729 %
 
+19 =18 -13
P ~   0.0143 %
 
+20 =16 -14
P ~   0.0020 %
 
+21 =14 -15
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+22 =12 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 =10 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 8 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 6 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 4 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 2 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+28 = 0 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 28.0 points out of 50:   8.7753 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 27.5/50
 
+ 5 =45 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =43 - 1
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 7 =41 - 2
P ~   0.0030 %
 
+ 8 =39 - 3
P ~   0.0264 %
 
+ 9 =37 - 4
P ~   0.1384 %
 
+10 =35 - 5
P ~   0.4693 %
 
+11 =33 - 6
P ~   1.0768 %
 
+12 =31 - 7
P ~   1.7228 %
 
+13 =29 - 8
P ~   1.9606 %
 
+14 =27 - 9
P ~   1.6080 %
 
+15 =25 -10
P ~   0.9577 %
 
+16 =23 -11
P ~   0.4155 %
 
+17 =21 -12
P ~   0.1312 %
 
+18 =19 -13
P ~   0.0300 %
 
+19 =17 -14
P ~   0.0049 %
 
+20 =15 -15
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+21 =13 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 =11 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 9 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 7 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 5 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 3 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 1 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 27.5 points out of 50:   8.5453 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 27.0/50
 
+ 4 =46 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =44 - 1
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 6 =42 - 2
P ~   0.0011 %
 
+ 7 =40 - 3
P ~   0.0111 %
 
+ 8 =38 - 4
P ~   0.0688 %
 
+ 9 =36 - 5
P ~   0.2734 %
 
+10 =34 - 6
P ~   0.7308 %
 
+11 =32 - 7
P ~   1.3552 %
 
+12 =30 - 8
P ~   1.7821 %
 
+13 =28 - 9
P ~   1.6865 %
 
+14 =26 -10
P ~   1.1590 %
 
+15 =24 -11
P ~   0.5811 %
 
+16 =22 -12
P ~   0.2126 %
 
+17 =20 -13
P ~   0.0566 %
 
+18 =18 -14
P ~   0.0109 %
 
+19 =16 -15
P ~   0.0015 %
 
+20 =14 -16
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+21 =12 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 =10 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 8 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 6 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 4 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 2 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+27 = 0 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 27.0 points out of 50:   7.9307 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 26.5/50
 
+ 3 =47 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =45 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =43 - 2
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 6 =41 - 3
P ~   0.0040 %
 
+ 7 =39 - 4
P ~   0.0296 %
 
+ 8 =37 - 5
P ~   0.1395 %
 
+ 9 =35 - 6
P ~   0.4380 %
 
+10 =33 - 7
P ~   0.9476 %
 
+11 =31 - 8
P ~   1.4471 %
 
+12 =29 - 9
P ~   1.5859 %
 
+13 =27 -10
P ~   1.2606 %
 
+14 =25 -11
P ~   0.7313 %
 
+15 =23 -12
P ~   0.3102 %
 
+16 =21 -13
P ~   0.0960 %
 
+17 =19 -14
P ~   0.0216 %
 
+18 =17 -15
P ~   0.0035 %
 
+19 =15 -16
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+20 =13 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 =11 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 9 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 7 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 5 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 3 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 1 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 26.5 points out of 50:   7.0156 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 26.0/50
 
+ 2 =48 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =46 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =44 - 2
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 5 =42 - 3
P ~   0.0012 %
 
+ 6 =40 - 4
P ~   0.0109 %
 
+ 7 =38 - 5
P ~   0.0616 %
 
+ 8 =36 - 6
P ~   0.2297 %
 
+ 9 =34 - 7
P ~   0.5846 %
 
+10 =32 - 8
P ~   1.0435 %
 
+11 =30 - 9
P ~   1.3306 %
 
+12 =28 -10
P ~   1.2277 %
 
+13 =26 -11
P ~   0.8260 %
 
+14 =24 -12
P ~   0.4067 %
 
+15 =22 -13
P ~   0.1465 %
 
+16 =20 -14
P ~   0.0385 %
 
+17 =18 -15
P ~   0.0073 %
 
+18 =16 -16
P ~   0.0010 %
 
+19 =14 -17
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+20 =12 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 =10 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 8 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 6 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 4 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 2 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+26 = 0 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 26.0 points out of 50:   5.9160 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 25.5/50
 
+ 1 =49 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =47 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =45 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =43 - 3
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 5 =41 - 4
P ~   0.0033 %
 
+ 6 =39 - 5
P ~   0.0232 %
 
+ 7 =37 - 6
P ~   0.1042 %
 
+ 8 =35 - 7
P ~   0.3153 %
 
+ 9 =33 - 8
P ~   0.6633 %
 
+10 =31 - 9
P ~   0.9904 %
 
+11 =29 -10
P ~   1.0657 %
 
+12 =27 -11
P ~   0.8343 %
 
+13 =25 -12
P ~   0.4778 %
 
+14 =23 -13
P ~   0.2005 %
 
+15 =21 -14
P ~   0.0615 %
 
+16 =19 -15
P ~   0.0137 %
 
+17 =17 -16
P ~   0.0022 %
 
+18 =15 -17
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+19 =13 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 =11 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 9 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 7 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 5 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 3 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 1 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 25.5 points out of 50:   4.7558 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 25.0/50
 
+ 0 =50 - 0
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =48 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =46 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =44 - 3
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 4 =42 - 4
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+ 5 =40 - 5
P ~   0.0073 %
 
+ 6 =38 - 6
P ~   0.0403 %
 
+ 7 =36 - 7
P ~   0.1470 %
 
+ 8 =34 - 8
P ~   0.3683 %
 
+ 9 =32 - 9
P ~   0.6492 %
 
+10 =30 -10
P ~   0.8196 %
 
+11 =28 -11
P ~   0.7500 %
 
+12 =26 -12
P ~   0.5011 %
 
+13 =24 -13
P ~   0.2453 %
 
+14 =22 -14
P ~   0.0879 %
 
+15 =20 -15
P ~   0.0230 %
 
+16 =18 -16
P ~   0.0043 %
 
+17 =16 -17
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+18 =14 -18
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+19 =12 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 =10 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 8 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 6 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 4 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 2 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+25 = 0 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 25.0 points out of 50:   3.6449 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 24.5/50
 
+ 0 =49 - 1
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =47 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =45 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =43 - 4
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 4 =41 - 5
P ~   0.0019 %
 
+ 5 =39 - 6
P ~   0.0130 %
 
+ 6 =37 - 7
P ~   0.0583 %
 
+ 7 =35 - 8
P ~   0.1766 %
 
+ 8 =33 - 9
P ~   0.3714 %
 
+ 9 =31 -10
P ~   0.5546 %
 
+10 =29 -11
P ~   0.5968 %
 
+11 =27 -12
P ~   0.4672 %
 
+12 =25 -13
P ~   0.2675 %
 
+13 =23 -14
P ~   0.1123 %
 
+14 =21 -15
P ~   0.0344 %
 
+15 =19 -16
P ~   0.0077 %
 
+16 =17 -17
P ~   0.0012 %
 
+17 =15 -18
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+18 =13 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 =11 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 9 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 7 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 5 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 3 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 1 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 24.5 points out of 50:   2.6632 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 24.0/50
 
+ 0 =48 - 2
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =46 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =44 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =42 - 5
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+ 4 =40 - 6
P ~   0.0034 %
 
+ 5 =38 - 7
P ~   0.0193 %
 
+ 6 =36 - 8
P ~   0.0720 %
 
+ 7 =34 - 9
P ~   0.1833 %
 
+ 8 =32 -10
P ~   0.3272 %
 
+ 9 =30 -11
P ~   0.4173 %
 
+10 =28 -12
P ~   0.3850 %
 
+11 =26 -13
P ~   0.2590 %
 
+12 =24 -14
P ~   0.1275 %
 
+13 =22 -15
P ~   0.0459 %
 
+14 =20 -16
P ~   0.0121 %
 
+15 =18 -17
P ~   0.0023 %
 
+16 =16 -18
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+17 =14 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 =12 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 =10 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 8 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 6 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 4 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 2 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+24 = 0 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 24.0 points out of 50:   1.8551 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 23.5/50
 
+ 0 =47 - 3
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =45 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =43 - 5
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 3 =41 - 6
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+ 4 =39 - 7
P ~   0.0052 %
 
+ 5 =37 - 8
P ~   0.0245 %
 
+ 6 =35 - 9
P ~   0.0769 %
 
+ 7 =33 -10
P ~   0.1664 %
 
+ 8 =31 -11
P ~   0.2541 %
 
+ 9 =29 -12
P ~   0.2785 %
 
+10 =27 -13
P ~   0.2214 %
 
+11 =25 -14
P ~   0.1284 %
 
+12 =23 -15
P ~   0.0545 %
 
+13 =21 -16
P ~   0.0169 %
 
+14 =19 -17
P ~   0.0038 %
 
+15 =17 -18
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+16 =15 -19
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+17 =13 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 =11 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 9 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 7 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 5 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 3 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 1 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 23.5 points out of 50:   1.2319 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 23.0/50
 
+ 0 =46 - 4
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =44 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =42 - 6
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 3 =40 - 7
P ~   0.0011 %
 
+ 4 =38 - 8
P ~   0.0068 %
 
+ 5 =36 - 9
P ~   0.0269 %
 
+ 6 =34 -10
P ~   0.0719 %
 
+ 7 =32 -11
P ~   0.1333 %
 
+ 8 =30 -12
P ~   0.1752 %
 
+ 9 =28 -13
P ~   0.1658 %
 
+10 =26 -14
P ~   0.1140 %
 
+11 =24 -15
P ~   0.0571 %
 
+12 =22 -16
P ~   0.0209 %
 
+13 =20 -17
P ~   0.0056 %
 
+14 =18 -18
P ~   0.0011 %
 
+15 =16 -19
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+16 =14 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 =12 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 =10 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 8 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 6 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 4 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 2 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+23 = 0 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 23.0 points out of 50:   0.7799 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 22.5/50
 
+ 0 =45 - 5
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =43 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =41 - 7
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 3 =39 - 8
P ~   0.0015 %
 
+ 4 =37 - 9
P ~   0.0076 %
 
+ 5 =35 -10
P ~   0.0258 %
 
+ 6 =33 -11
P ~   0.0593 %
 
+ 7 =31 -12
P ~   0.0949 %
 
+ 8 =29 -13
P ~   0.1080 %
 
+ 9 =27 -14
P ~   0.0885 %
 
+10 =25 -15
P ~   0.0527 %
 
+11 =23 -16
P ~   0.0229 %
 
+12 =21 -17
P ~   0.0072 %
 
+13 =19 -18
P ~   0.0016 %
 
+14 =17 -19
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+15 =15 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 =13 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 =11 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 9 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 7 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 5 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 3 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 1 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 22.5 points out of 50:   0.4706 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 22.0/50
 
+ 0 =44 - 6
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =42 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =40 - 8
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 3 =38 - 9
P ~   0.0017 %
 
+ 4 =36 -10
P ~   0.0075 %
 
+ 5 =34 -11
P ~   0.0219 %
 
+ 6 =32 -12
P ~   0.0435 %
 
+ 7 =30 -13
P ~   0.0604 %
 
+ 8 =28 -14
P ~   0.0597 %
 
+ 9 =26 -15
P ~   0.0425 %
 
+10 =24 -16
P ~   0.0220 %
 
+11 =22 -17
P ~   0.0083 %
 
+12 =20 -18
P ~   0.0022 %
 
+13 =18 -19
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+14 =16 -20
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+15 =14 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 =12 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 =10 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 8 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 6 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 4 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 2 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+22 = 0 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 22.0 points out of 50:   0.2706 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 21.5/50
 
+ 0 =43 - 7
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =41 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =39 - 9
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 3 =37 -10
P ~   0.0017 %
 
+ 4 =35 -11
P ~   0.0066 %
 
+ 5 =33 -12
P ~   0.0166 %
 
+ 6 =31 -13
P ~   0.0286 %
 
+ 7 =29 -14
P ~   0.0345 %
 
+ 8 =27 -15
P ~   0.0297 %
 
+ 9 =25 -16
P ~   0.0185 %
 
+10 =23 -17
P ~   0.0083 %
 
+11 =21 -18
P ~   0.0027 %
 
+12 =19 -19
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+13 =17 -20
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+14 =15 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 =13 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 =11 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 9 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 7 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 5 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 3 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 1 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 21.5 points out of 50:   0.1483 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 21.0/50
 
+ 0 =42 - 8
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =40 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =38 -10
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 3 =36 -11
P ~   0.0015 %
 
+ 4 =34 -12
P ~   0.0051 %
 
+ 5 =32 -13
P ~   0.0113 %
 
+ 6 =30 -14
P ~   0.0169 %
 
+ 7 =28 -15
P ~   0.0178 %
 
+ 8 =26 -16
P ~   0.0134 %
 
+ 9 =24 -17
P ~   0.0072 %
 
+10 =22 -18
P ~   0.0028 %
 
+11 =20 -19
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+12 =18 -20
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+13 =16 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 =14 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 =12 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 =10 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 8 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 6 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 4 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 2 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+21 = 0 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 21.0 points out of 50:   0.0774 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 20.5/50
 
+ 0 =41 - 9
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =39 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =37 -11
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 3 =35 -12
P ~   0.0012 %
 
+ 4 =33 -13
P ~   0.0036 %
 
+ 5 =31 -14
P ~   0.0069 %
 
+ 6 =29 -15
P ~   0.0090 %
 
+ 7 =27 -16
P ~   0.0083 %
 
+ 8 =25 -17
P ~   0.0055 %
 
+ 9 =23 -18
P ~   0.0026 %
 
+10 =21 -19
P ~   0.0009 %
 
+11 =19 -20
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+12 =17 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 =15 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 =13 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 =11 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 9 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 7 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 5 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 3 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 1 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 20.5 points out of 50:   0.0385 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 20.0/50
 
+ 0 =40 -10
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =38 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =36 -12
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 3 =34 -13
P ~   0.0009 %
 
+ 4 =32 -14
P ~   0.0023 %
 
+ 5 =30 -15
P ~   0.0038 %
 
+ 6 =28 -16
P ~   0.0044 %
 
+ 7 =26 -17
P ~   0.0035 %
 
+ 8 =24 -18
P ~   0.0020 %
 
+ 9 =22 -19
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+10 =20 -20
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+11 =18 -21
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+12 =16 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 =14 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 =12 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 =10 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 8 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 6 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 4 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 2 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+20 = 0 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 20.0 points out of 50:   0.0182 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 19.5/50
 
+ 0 =39 -11
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =37 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =35 -13
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 3 =33 -14
P ~   0.0006 %
 
+ 4 =31 -15
P ~   0.0013 %
 
+ 5 =29 -16
P ~   0.0019 %
 
+ 6 =27 -17
P ~   0.0019 %
 
+ 7 =25 -18
P ~   0.0014 %
 
+ 8 =23 -19
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+ 9 =21 -20
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+10 =19 -21
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+11 =17 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 =15 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 =13 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 =11 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 9 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 7 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 5 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 3 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 1 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 19.5 points out of 50:   0.0082 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 19.0/50
 
+ 0 =38 -12
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =36 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =34 -14
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 3 =32 -15
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 4 =30 -16
P ~   0.0007 %
 
+ 5 =28 -17
P ~   0.0009 %
 
+ 6 =26 -18
P ~   0.0008 %
 
+ 7 =24 -19
P ~   0.0005 %
 
+ 8 =22 -20
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 9 =20 -21
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+10 =18 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 =16 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 =14 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 =12 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 =10 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 8 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 6 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 4 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 2 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+19 = 0 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 19.0 points out of 50:   0.0035 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 18.5/50
 
+ 0 =37 -13
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =35 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =33 -15
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 3 =31 -16
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 4 =29 -17
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 5 =27 -18
P ~   0.0004 %
 
+ 6 =25 -19
P ~   0.0003 %
 
+ 7 =23 -20
P ~   0.0002 %
 
+ 8 =21 -21
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 9 =19 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 =17 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 =15 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 =13 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 =11 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 9 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 7 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 5 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 3 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 1 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 18.5 points out of 50:   0.0014 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 18.0/50
 
+ 0 =36 -14
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =34 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =32 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =30 -17
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 4 =28 -18
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 5 =26 -19
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 6 =24 -20
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 7 =22 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =20 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 =18 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 =16 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 =14 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 =12 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 =10 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 8 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 6 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 4 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 2 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+18 = 0 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 18.0 points out of 50:   0.0006 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 17.5/50
 
+ 0 =35 -15
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =33 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =31 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =29 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =27 -19
P ~   0.0001 %
 
+ 5 =25 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =23 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =21 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =19 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 =17 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 =15 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 =13 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 =11 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 9 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 7 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 5 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 3 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 1 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 17.5 points out of 50:   0.0002 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 17.0/50
 
+ 0 =34 -16
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =32 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =30 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =28 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =26 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =24 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =22 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =20 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =18 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 =16 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 =14 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 =12 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 =10 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 8 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 6 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 4 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 2 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+17 = 0 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 17.0 points out of 50:   0.0001 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 16.5/50
 
+ 0 =33 -17
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =31 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =29 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =27 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =25 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =23 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =21 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =19 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =17 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 =15 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 =13 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 =11 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 9 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 7 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 5 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 3 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 1 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 16.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 16.0/50
 
+ 0 =32 -18
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =30 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =28 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =26 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =24 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =22 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =20 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =18 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =16 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 =14 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 =12 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 =10 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 8 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 6 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 4 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 2 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+16 = 0 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 16.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 15.5/50
 
+ 0 =31 -19
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =29 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =27 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =25 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =23 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =21 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =19 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =17 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =15 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 =13 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 =11 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 9 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 7 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 5 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 3 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 1 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 15.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 15.0/50
 
+ 0 =30 -20
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =28 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =26 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =24 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =22 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =20 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =18 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =16 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =14 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 =12 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 =10 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 8 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 6 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 4 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 2 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+15 = 0 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 15.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 14.5/50
 
+ 0 =29 -21
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =27 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =25 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =23 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =21 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =19 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =17 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =15 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =13 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 =11 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 9 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 7 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 5 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 3 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 1 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 14.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 14.0/50
 
+ 0 =28 -22
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =26 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =24 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =22 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =20 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =18 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =16 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =14 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =12 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 =10 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 8 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 6 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 4 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 2 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+14 = 0 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 14.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 13.5/50
 
+ 0 =27 -23
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =25 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =23 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =21 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =19 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =17 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =15 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =13 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =11 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 9 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 7 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 5 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 3 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 1 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 13.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 13.0/50
 
+ 0 =26 -24
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =24 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =22 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =20 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =18 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =16 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =14 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =12 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 =10 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 8 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 6 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 4 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 2 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+13 = 0 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 13.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 12.5/50
 
+ 0 =25 -25
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =23 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =21 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =19 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =17 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =15 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =13 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =11 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 9 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 7 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 5 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 3 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 1 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 12.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 12.0/50
 
+ 0 =24 -26
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =22 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =20 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =18 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =16 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =14 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =12 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 =10 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 8 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 6 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 4 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 2 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+12 = 0 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 12.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 11.5/50
 
+ 0 =23 -27
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =21 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =19 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =17 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =15 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =13 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =11 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 9 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 7 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 5 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 3 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 1 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 11.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 11.0/50
 
+ 0 =22 -28
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =20 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =18 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =16 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =14 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =12 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 =10 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 8 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 6 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 4 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 2 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+11 = 0 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 11.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 10.5/50
 
+ 0 =21 -29
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =19 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =17 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =15 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =13 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =11 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 9 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 7 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 5 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 3 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 1 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 10.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points: 10.0/50
 
+ 0 =20 -30
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =18 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =16 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =14 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =12 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 =10 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 8 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 6 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 4 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 2 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+10 = 0 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win 10.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  9.5/50
 
+ 0 =19 -31
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =17 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =15 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =13 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =11 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 9 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 7 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 5 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 3 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 1 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  9.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  9.0/50
 
+ 0 =18 -32
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =16 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =14 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =12 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 =10 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 8 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 6 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 4 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 2 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 9 = 0 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  9.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  8.5/50
 
+ 0 =17 -33
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =15 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =13 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =11 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 9 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 7 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 5 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 3 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 1 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  8.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  8.0/50
 
+ 0 =16 -34
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =14 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =12 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 =10 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 8 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 6 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 4 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 2 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 8 = 0 -42
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  8.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  7.5/50
 
+ 0 =15 -35
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =13 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =11 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 9 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 7 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 5 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 3 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 1 -42
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  7.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  7.0/50
 
+ 0 =14 -36
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =12 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 =10 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 8 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 6 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 4 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 2 -42
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 7 = 0 -43
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  7.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  6.5/50
 
+ 0 =13 -37
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =11 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 9 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 7 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 5 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 3 -42
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 1 -43
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  6.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  6.0/50
 
+ 0 =12 -38
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 =10 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 8 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 6 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 4 -42
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 2 -43
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 6 = 0 -44
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  6.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  5.5/50
 
+ 0 =11 -39
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 9 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 7 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 5 -42
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 3 -43
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 1 -44
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  5.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  5.0/50
 
+ 0 =10 -40
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 8 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 6 -42
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 4 -43
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 2 -44
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 5 = 0 -45
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  5.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  4.5/50
 
+ 0 = 9 -41
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 7 -42
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 5 -43
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 3 -44
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 1 -45
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  4.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  4.0/50
 
+ 0 = 8 -42
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 6 -43
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 4 -44
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 2 -45
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 4 = 0 -46
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  4.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  3.5/50
 
+ 0 = 7 -43
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 5 -44
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 3 -45
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 1 -46
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  3.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  3.0/50
 
+ 0 = 6 -44
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 4 -45
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 2 -46
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 3 = 0 -47
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  3.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  2.5/50
 
+ 0 = 5 -45
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 3 -46
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 1 -47
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  2.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  2.0/50
 
+ 0 = 4 -46
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 2 -47
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 2 = 0 -48
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  2.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  1.5/50
 
+ 0 = 3 -47
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 1 -48
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  1.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  1.0/50
 
+ 0 = 2 -48
P ~   0.0000 %
 
+ 1 = 0 -49
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  1.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  0.5/50
 
+ 0 = 1 -49
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  0.5 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
----------------------------------------------------
 
Points:  0.0/50
 
+ 0 = 0 -50
P ~   0.0000 %
 
Probability of win  0.0 points out of 50:   0.0000 %
 
--------------------------------------------------------------
 
                          SUMMARIZE:
 
 Probability that the first engine wins the match ~  88.7873 %
                      Probability of a tied match ~   3.6449 %
Probability that the second engine wins the match ~   7.5678 %
It looks bad for Bouquet but the match as not started yet!

Regards from Spain.

Ajedrecista.
User avatar
geots
Posts: 4790
Joined: Sat Mar 11, 2006 12:42 am

Re: GROUP 1 Championship Match - begins on Sunday or Monday!

Post by geots »

Thanks, Jesus. I remember Vas telling me- I suppose using similar methods to yours- that Rybka had an 85% chance of winning and a 15% chance of losing- against Zappa in Mexico. And he said the 15% got him! So I suppose that is why they play the match.


Best,

george
User avatar
Graham Banks
Posts: 44689
Joined: Sun Feb 26, 2006 10:52 am
Location: Auckland, NZ

Re: GROUP 1 Championship Match - begins on Sunday or Monday!

Post by Graham Banks »

Ajedrecista wrote:Sorry for this long post. I took a look on CCRL 40/40 list and I found the following info:

Code: Select all

Critter 1.6a 64-bit (3104); 55.7 % of draws.
 Bouquet 1.6 64-bit (3062); 59 % of draws.
I did not find a popcnt version for Bouquet 1.6 so I take the rating of non-popcnt version.
That is the popcount version, although we'd combine anyway.
gbanksnz at gmail.com
User avatar
geots
Posts: 4790
Joined: Sat Mar 11, 2006 12:42 am

GROUP 1- Bouquet_1.6 pop64 v Critter 1.6a 64-bit Has Begun!

Post by geots »


I admit I am a couple days late getting this overall Freeware Championship match begun. But begun it has- approximately 10 minutes ago. It is running on my XPS i5 system, so the time control is 40 moves in 19 minutes repeating- benchmarked to adapt to 40/40. And I will mention again that this is a 50-game match. Updates will be given along the way.




Take care-

george
User avatar
geots
Posts: 4790
Joined: Sat Mar 11, 2006 12:42 am

GROUP 1- Bouquet_1.6 pop64 v Critter 1.6a 64-bit, 3 Games In

Post by geots »

And we have results:


Game 1: Drawn

Game 2: Drawn

Game 3: Bouquet wins with white, takes a 1 game lead!



Update before I get some sleep- back tonight.



Until then-

george
User avatar
geots
Posts: 4790
Joined: Sat Mar 11, 2006 12:42 am

GROUP 1: Bouquet_1.6 v Critter 1.6a- After 17 Games!

Post by geots »

My service provider was down for the last 16 hours, and I am just able to get online now. At any rate, except for that I would have posted updates earlier. I have to admit that this match seems so far to be taking some strange twists and turns. But here it is, up to date:





XPS 8500 Intel i5-4 True Cores [40/19]

Fritz 11 gui/Fritz 13 gui
1CPU/64-bit where available
128MB hash
Bases=NONE
Ponder_Learning=OFF
Perfect 2012b.ctg w/12-move limit
40/21 Repeating OR
40/19 Repeating (Benched to adapt to 40/40)
Match=50 games





Code: Select all

Group 1 XPS-Core-i5  2013

                         
Bouquet _1.6 pop64     +5/-4/=8   52.94%   9.0/17
Critter 1.6a 64-bit    +4/-5/=8   47.06%   8.0/17


So after 17 games, Bouquet holds a 1-game lead. I have no idea where this match is headed. We shall see- updates to come.




I shall close my eyes for a while-

george