WCRCC: Predictions

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Moderator: Ras

WRCCC: 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th Placings Predictions

Poll ended at Tue Aug 18, 2009 4:28 pm

Ikarus
3
3%
Scorpio
2
2%
Deep Sjeng
17
19%
Spark
3
3%
Hiarcs
18
20%
Crafty
7
8%
Thinker
14
16%
Stockfish
18
20%
Twisted Logic
3
3%
Other
3
3%
 
Total votes: 88

swami
Posts: 6662
Joined: Thu Mar 09, 2006 4:21 am

WCRCC: Predictions

Post by swami »

Predict the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th placings. We will see who comes closest in accurately predicting the order.

http://www.taccl.org/ACCAWCRCC/2009ACCA ... CPart.html

Participants List:

Code: Select all

Pandix
Rybka
The Baron
Hiarcs
Scorpio
ZCT 
Crafty
TwistedLogic
Stockfish
Dirty/Buzz
Arasan
Learning Lemming
Spark
Thinker 
BugChess
Telepath
Noonian Chess
Joker
Micromax
MatMoi
Ikarus
Deep Sjeng
Hector for Chess
Diuterium
Diep
Tornado
Symbolic
User avatar
Harvey Williamson
Posts: 2026
Joined: Sun May 25, 2008 11:12 pm
Location: Whitchurch. Shropshire, UK.
Full name: Harvey Williamson

Re: WCRCC: Predictions

Post by Harvey Williamson »

Perhaps another good rule would be that operators do not declare Rybka the winner before the tournament starts? Why is Rybka not part of your poll?
swami
Posts: 6662
Joined: Thu Mar 09, 2006 4:21 am

Re: WCRCC: Predictions

Post by swami »

Harvey Williamson wrote:Perhaps another good rule would be that operators do not declare Rybka the winner before the tournament starts? Why is Rybka not part of your poll?
Poll allows only 10 options. I would have entered "Rybka" instead of "Other" but that would be unfair to many engines that could surprise us. Like LearningLemming, Pandix, Arasan, BugChess, The Baron etc...

Probability that Rybka ends up 2nd, 3rd... is far lesser than the probability that engines in "other" section finishes 4,5,6 placings. Your opinion maybe different from mine. I've just entered "Rybka" as one of the options in a poll at Rybka forum because that forum allows 20 options for a poll...
http://rybkaforum.net/cgi-bin/rybkaforu ... ?tid=12140
User avatar
Harvey Williamson
Posts: 2026
Joined: Sun May 25, 2008 11:12 pm
Location: Whitchurch. Shropshire, UK.
Full name: Harvey Williamson

Re: WCRCC: Predictions

Post by Harvey Williamson »

swami wrote:
Harvey Williamson wrote:Perhaps another good rule would be that operators do not declare Rybka the winner before the tournament starts? Why is Rybka not part of your poll?
Poll allows only 10 options. I would have entered "Rybka" instead of "Other" but that would be unfair to many engines that could surprise us. Like LearningLemming, Pandix, Arasan, BugChess, The Baron etc...

Probability that Rybka ends up 2nd, 3rd... is far lesser than the probability that engines in "other" section finishes 4,5,6 placings. Your opinion maybe different from mine. I've just entered "Rybka" as one of the options in a poll at Rybka forum because that forum allows 20 options for a poll...
http://rybkaforum.net/cgi-bin/rybkaforu ... ?tid=12140
Swami you win my posts have been deleted. This thread has been totally hacked by a mod. I accept that you are more valuable to CCC than I so I will not be back. Good Luck to all here and do not forget to check on the Pocket Hiarcs result tonight. Look out also for Iphone Hiarcs which is released very soon.
User avatar
Graham Banks
Posts: 44611
Joined: Sun Feb 26, 2006 10:52 am
Location: Auckland, NZ

Re: WCRCC: Predictions

Post by Graham Banks »

I'll go for:

Hiarcs
Deep Sjeng
Thinker
Stockfish
Twisted Logic
gbanksnz at gmail.com
Gian-Carlo Pascutto
Posts: 1260
Joined: Sat Dec 13, 2008 7:00 pm

Re: WCRCC: Predictions

Post by Gian-Carlo Pascutto »

I'm not able to attend so Deep Sjeng will run on a normal machine, not the cluster.
swami
Posts: 6662
Joined: Thu Mar 09, 2006 4:21 am

Re: WCRCC: Predictions

Post by swami »

My Guess:

1.Rybka 2.Hiarcs 3. Stockfish 4.Deep Sjeng 5.Thinker 6.Ikarus 7.Crafty 8.Diep
Vinvin
Posts: 5298
Joined: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:40 am
Full name: Vincent Lejeune

Re: WCRCC: Predictions

Post by Vinvin »

Mine : 1.Rybka 2.Deep Sjeng 3.Stockfish 4.Hiarcs 5.Thinker 6.Crafty
swami wrote:My Guess:

1.Rybka 2.Hiarcs 3. Stockfish 4.Deep Sjeng 5.Thinker 6.Ikarus 7.Crafty 8.Diep
Vinvin
Posts: 5298
Joined: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:40 am
Full name: Vincent Lejeune

Re: WCRCC: Predictions

Post by Vinvin »

I was quite close for the 1st day (thinker is a bit low :-( ) :

Code: Select all

     Name                  R1    R2    R3    R4    R5    R6    R7    R8    Score  #g
   1 Rybka          (2813) +w10  +b7   =w2   +b8   +w4   +b3   +w6    b5     6.5   7
   2 Sjeng          (2720) +b22  +w11  =b1   +w6   =w3   =b4   +w7    b10    5.5   7
   3 StockfishACCA  (2800) Wb23  +w17  +b9   =w4   =b2   -w1   +b11   w8     5.0   6
   4 Hiarcs8x       (2789) +w20  +b15  +w5   =b3   -b1   =w2   =b8    w6     4.5   7
   5 TwistedLogicCCT(2829) +b14  +w6   -b4   +w9   -b7   -w11  +b15   w1     4.0   7
   6 spark02        (2700) +w21  -b5   +w12  -b2   +w15  +w7   -b1    b4     4.0   7
   7 crafty         (2688) +b19  -w1   +b20  +w11  +w5   -b6   -b2    w9     4.0   7
   8 IkarusX        (2839) =b13  =w16  +b17  -w1   =b12  +w14  =w4    b3     4.0   7
   9 Pandix         (2050) +b16  +w13  -w3   -b5   =b11  +w17  =b12   b7     4.0   7
  10 Deuterium2009  (2455) -b1   =w14  =b16  =w13  +b21  =w12  +b17   w2     4.0   7
  11 ChessThinkerX  (2872) +w12  -b2   +w15  -b7   =w9   +b5   -w3    b13    3.5   7
...
http://www.taccl.org/ACCAWCRCC/2009ACCA ... ounds.html

Vinvin wrote:Mine : 1.Rybka 2.Deep Sjeng 3.Stockfish 4.Hiarcs 5.Thinker 6.Crafty
swami wrote:My Guess:

1.Rybka 2.Hiarcs 3. Stockfish 4.Deep Sjeng 5.Thinker 6.Ikarus 7.Crafty 8.Diep
swami
Posts: 6662
Joined: Thu Mar 09, 2006 4:21 am

Re: WCRCC: Predictions

Post by swami »

8th round not updated - points not added.

So that was until the 7th round.