Mathematically impossible? I think not. Houdini is not getting three wins. And Stockfish should reach very close to 20 wins.Guenther wrote:20 is mathematically nearly impossible.Lyudmil Tsvetkov wrote:For some reasons, closely related to SF search and eval specifics, SF excels in the time interval 10-30 min. At blitz, it plays weaker, and also at VLTC.beram wrote:I am underway with 38 games at 5 times longer TC 15m 10sberam wrote:Have played my first 100 games with Houdini 5
Privat testbook 25 lines, AMD X6 1090T 3200 Mhz
TC 3m+2s, 4CPU, ponder off
Stockfish wins +20 -7 =73 56,5%
Code: Select all
Houdini 5 - SF 8, Blitz 3m+2s 1 Stockfish 8 64 POPCNT +20/=73/-7 56.50% 56.5/100 2 Houdini 5 x64-popc +7/=73/-20 43.50% 43.5/100
It seems the fish is doing better with longer time
+7 -1 = 30 with a very high drawpercentage of 78,9% (with same testbook)
My guess for outcome TCEC final 88 draws and +10 - 2 for Stockfish 8
Code: Select all
Houdini 5 - SF 8, Blitz 15m+10s 1 Stockfish 8 64 POPCNT +7/=30/-1 57.89% 22.0/38 2 Houdini 5 x64-popc +1/=30/-7 42.11% 16.0/38
So, although I also think SF will win the final, it is not claer to me waht will be the score. I guess there will be more than 12 wins, maybe 20.Even with a regression to let's say incredible 78% draw rate that would mean 20:2 for SF.Code: Select all
Event W L D N DRate Opp1 Opp2 1st Game Last game Book moves TCEC 7 Final 4:7 53 64 82,81% SF 141214 Komodo 1333 2014.12.16 2014.12.27 8 TCEC 8 Final 9:2 89 100 89,00% SF 011115 Komodo 9.3x 2015.11.06 2015.11.30 8
If we assume a more realistic draw rate of may be 85% (if the book was sharpened/ slightly more unbalanced again - ignoring even faster hardware again, which increases draw rates)
that would mean 15 decisive games. From the current test results of perhaps 55% for SF, we could deduct a final result of 12:3 +85 draws, but we don't know exactly what happens at those LTC.
Houdini 5 vs Stockfish 8
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Re: Houdini 5 vs Stockfish 8
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Re: Houdini 5 vs Stockfish 8
By the way, there is no 12-18 move book. The openings will vary in length. 18 moves is stated to be the largest opening for the Superfinal. Right now we have begun an eight-move opening.Lyudmil Tsvetkov wrote:Correction, just looked at the first games played at TCEC, and ....
Ooohhh, horror, they are using 12 to 18 moves long book (35 plies), where the game more or less ends.
Whoever made the choice of the book, made a very poor job indeed. The most interesting part of the game, opening and early middlegame, where engines made the most mistakes, is simply left out.
Under those conditions, it is possible that wins will be less, SF will be favoured more, and, absolutely regrettably, we will witness very boring final. (the games have already ended when the engines start thinking, you know)
Also, look where most games end: at move 45-55, far shorter than any menaingful game under those conditions starting at ply 4 or 5. Certainly, a game lasting 100 moves is far more interesting, is not it?
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Re: Houdini 5 vs Stockfish 8
Doesn't make it better it seems.APassionForCriminalJustic wrote:By the way, there is no 12-18 move book. The openings will vary in length. 18 moves is stated to be the largest opening for the Superfinal. Right now we have begun an eight-move opening.Lyudmil Tsvetkov wrote:Correction, just looked at the first games played at TCEC, and ....
Ooohhh, horror, they are using 12 to 18 moves long book (35 plies), where the game more or less ends.
Whoever made the choice of the book, made a very poor job indeed. The most interesting part of the game, opening and early middlegame, where engines made the most mistakes, is simply left out.
Under those conditions, it is possible that wins will be less, SF will be favoured more, and, absolutely regrettably, we will witness very boring final. (the games have already ended when the engines start thinking, you know)
Also, look where most games end: at move 45-55, far shorter than any menaingful game under those conditions starting at ply 4 or 5. Certainly, a game lasting 100 moves is far more interesting, is not it?
Code: Select all
1. e4 e6 2. d4 d5 3. Nc3 Nf6 4. Bg5 Be7 5. e5 Nfd7 6. h4 Bxg5 7. hxg5 Qxg5 8. Nh3 Qe7
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Re: Houdini 5 vs Stockfish 8
Well the oldies from the museum are still doing wellHai wrote:Last time I saw an AMD X6 1090T 3200 Mhz in the museum!!!beram wrote:Have played my first 100 games with Houdini 5
Privat testbook 25 lines, AMD X6 1090T 3200 Mhz
TC 3m+2s, 4CPU, ponder off
Stockfish wins +20 -7 =73 56,5%
Code: Select all
Houdini 5 - SF 8, Blitz 3m+2s 1 Stockfish 8 64 POPCNT +20/=73/-7 56.50% 56.5/100 2 Houdini 5 x64-popc +7/=73/-20 43.50% 43.5/100
With 4 cores it is more than competitive or likely better, compared to the testing on 1 core on the 17-4770k that Frank or the systems that Andreas Strangmuller is using
https://sites.google.com/site/computers ... benchmarks
Code: Select all
kN/s Cores EXE Processors Speed Hardware Users
23020 24 x64 2x Xeon E5-2697 v2 @3.22GHz Ahmed Mansoor
21604 24 x64 2x Xeon E5-2696 v2 @3.10GHz Lukas Cimiotti
20555 24 x64 2x Xeon E5-2696 v2 @2.97GHz Frank Karl Werner
19754 12 x64 2x Intel Xeon X5675 @4.83GHz George Martins
19709 24 x64 2x Xeon E5-2697 v2 @2.70GHz Roparz
19337 12 x64 2x Intel Xeon X5667 @4.55GHz Kim Burcham
18994 12 x64 2x Intel Xeon X5680 @4.50GHz Rolando Acosta
17899 20 x64 2x Xeon E5-2660 v2 @2.60GHz Adam Kostas
17650 20 x64 2x Xeon E5-2650 v3 @2.30GHz Steinar
17149 16 x64 2x Intel Xeon E5-2687 3.10GHz Peter Grayson
16326 12 x64 2x Intel Xeon E5645 @3.80GHz ErO Sennin
15648 8 x64 Intel Core i7-5960X @4.60GHz Alan Smithee
15010 16 x64 2x Intel Xeon E5-2687W 3.10GHz Bobby Johnson
13542 16 x64 2x Intel Xeon E5-2689 3.30GHz Martin Thoresen
12867 32 x64 Dual AMD Opteron 6376 2.30GHz Andreas Strangmüller
12459 12 x64 2x Intel Xeon X5650 @2.92GHz Leto Atreides
12049 6 x64 Intel Core i7-3960X @5.00GHz Black Viper
11578 6 x64 Intel Core i7-3970X @4.80GHz Kim Burcham
11386 6 x64 Intel Core i7-3930K @4.90GHz Arriere Pensee
11095 6 x64 Intel Core i7-3960X @4.60GHz Fulcrum2000
10617 6 x64 Intel Core i7 990X @4.40GHz Daniel Tyson
10612 6 x64 Intel Core i7-4930K @4.50GHz Hauke Lutz
10512 6 x64 Intel Core i7-980X @4.33GHz Sedat Canbaz
10282 6 x64 Intel Core i7-980X @4.10GHz David Bigler
10244 6 x64 Intel Core i7-4930K @3.98GHz Guest71
10157 6 x64 Intel Core i7-4960X @4.12GHz Adam Kostas
9787 6 x64 Intel Core i7-4930K 3.40GHz Torbjorn Johansen
9626 6 x64 Intel Core i7-970 @3.80GHz George Steele
9471 8 x64 AMD FX-9590 Vishera @5.00GHz Jacob Smith
9142 8 x64 AMD FX-8150 Zambezi @4.80GHz Anthony Harold
9139 6 x64 Intel Core i7-5820K 3.33GHz Enrique Lopez
8750 8 x64 AMD FX-8350 Vishera @4.50GHz Andreas Strangmüller
8614 8 x64 AMD FX-8350 Vishera @4.40GHz Felix Fernandez
8533 16 x64 Dual AMD Opteron 6376 2.30GHz Andreas Strangmüller
8434 4 x64 Intel Core i5-4670K @4.50GHz Dark Wizzie
8394 6 x64 Intel Core i7-980X 3.33GHz Sedat Canbaz
8150 6 x64 Intel Core i7-970 3.20GHz Sedat Canbaz
7902 4 x64 Intel Core i5 2500K @5.00GHz Anonymous
7877 4 x64 Intel Core i7-4770K @4.30GHz Frank Quisinsky
7739 4 x64 Intel Core i5 2500K @4.80GHz Bullet
7721 8 x64 AMD FX-8350 Vishera 4.00GHz Edsel Apostol
7760 4 x64 Intel Core i5-3570K @4.60GHZ Chris Cheek
7193 6 x64 AMD Phenom II X6 1100T @4.10GHz Orlando
7097 4 x64 Intel Xeon E5620 @4.33GHz Anonymous
6992 6 x64 AMD Phenom II X6 1100T @3.60GHz Raymond Banks
6893 4 x64 Intel Core i5 750 @4.29GHz Anonymous
6821 4 x64 Intel Core i7-920 @4.20GHz Brian Richardson
6779 4 x64 Intel Xeon E5620 @4.00GHz Anonymous
6715 8 x64 2x Intel Xeon E5450 3.00GHz Andreas Strangmüller
6687 4 x64 Intel Core i7-2600 @4.20GHz Andreas Strangmüller
6555 4 x64 Intel Core i7 3820 @4.30GHz Jesse Gersenson
6489 6 x64 AMD Phenom II X6 1090T @3.50GHz Sam Benton
6488 4 x64 Intel Core i5-4670K 3.40GHz Dark Wizzie
6409 4 x64 Intel Core 2 QX9650 @4.60GHz Anonymous
6465 4 x64 Intel Core i5 4670 @3.59GHz Jean-Francois Romang
6366 6 x64 AMD Phenom II X6 1075T @3.00 GHz Sugiarto
6331 4 x64 Intel Core i7-4930MX 3.00GHz Sylvain Renard
6246 4 x64 Intel Core i7-3770 3.40GHz Alienware
6248 8 x64 AMD FX-8120 Zambezi 3.10GHz Vadim Andreev
6071 6 x64 AMD Phenom II X6 1100T 3.30GHz Anonymous
6027 4 x64 Intel Xeon W3520 @3.80GHz Veronix
5963 6 x64 AMD Phenom II X6 1090T 3.20GHz Bram Mourik
5793 4 x64 Intel Core 2 QX9650 @4.23GHz Alvarez
5746 6 w32 Intel Core i7-970 3.20GHz Sedat Canbaz

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Re: Houdini 5 vs Stockfish 8
After first complete run of 50 games I have 55% +7 -2 =41 so 82% draws!beram wrote:I am underway with 38 games at 5 times longer TC 15m 10sberam wrote:Have played my first 100 games with Houdini 5
Privat testbook 25 lines, AMD X6 1090T 3200 Mhz
TC 3m+2s, 4CPU, ponder off
Stockfish wins +20 -7 =73 56,5%
Code: Select all
Houdini 5 - SF 8, Blitz 3m+2s 1 Stockfish 8 64 POPCNT +20/=73/-7 56.50% 56.5/100 2 Houdini 5 x64-popc +7/=73/-20 43.50% 43.5/100
It seems the fish is doing better with longer time
+7 -1 = 30 with a very high drawpercentage of 78,9% (with same testbook)
My guess for outcome TCEC final 88 draws and +10 - 2 for Stockfish 8
Code: Select all
Houdini 5 - SF 8, Blitz 15m+10s 1 Stockfish 8 64 POPCNT +7/=30/-1 57.89% 22.0/38 2 Houdini 5 x64-popc +1/=30/-7 42.11% 16.0/38
I won't do another full 50 games cycle but I had +1 =3 in the first four games of that
My guess for the final was probably to conservative. Now that the final has reached game 14 we have allready three games won by Stockfish and still no win for Houdini.
Perhaps +17 -1 = 82 now is a better guess