I agree with most things except that:jd1 wrote:Just a colloquial observation, but I am not that surprised by this result. I am 2100 FIDE, and (in my experience) can beat any engine with knight odds fairly consistently. It's just relatively straightforward to play simple openings and trade down.
Two pawns I lose nearly every single time, regardless of who moves first, which pawns, etc. I suspect three pawns, or exchange plus pawn(s) would be the same. I also suspect that it would be much harder to consistently convert a knight handicap against a super GM for example.
My theory is that:
1. The path to win from a whole knight up is far simpler to find, certainly for humans, than other close or "equivalent" (in terms of cp) handicaps.
2. Top engines don't realise that they need to complicate the position against a human player with an extra knight. A grandmaster does. I don't think this knowledge is particularly useful in computer vs computer games (although surely complicating when you are losing is a good idea in theory, but AFAIK no one has made it work in terms of elo), but it would likely help in this sort of handicap match.
- exchange odds is much harder than 2 pawns odds, probably by at least 80cps
- any 2200 player would beat Kasparov at LTC at knight odds, no matter the attempted complications
as said, knight odds, especially at LTC, is at least 2.5 times easier than 2 pawns odds and maybe 3 times easier than exchange odds.