Chessbase wrote:
On Friday, 26 November 2021, at 16:30 local time (13:30 CET, 7:30 ET, 12:30 UTC), the first game of the World Championship match between defending champion Magnus Carlsen and challenger Ian Nepomniachtchi will begin in Dubai. But who will win the match?
I guess smart money says Carlsen, but man would I love to see a upset!
"Good decisions come from experience, and experience comes from bad decisions."
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Ted Summers
Carlsen will lose his first white game by underestimating Непомнящий's form. After that, he will suffer from the well known anger-Elo-loss phenomenon (which I am currently victim to on Lichess, seriously I lost 150 Elo this month ), and will continue to finally lose his world champion title.
j.t. wrote: ↑Wed Nov 24, 2021 2:19 am
Carlsen will lose his first white game by underestimating Непомнящий's form. After that, he will suffer from the well known anger-Elo-loss phenomenon (which I am currently victim to on Lichess, seriously I lost 150 Elo this month ), and will continue to finally lose his world champion title.
And here I was thinking I was the only one suffering from wild 100 point Elo swings over there.
"Good decisions come from experience, and experience comes from bad decisions."
__________________________________________________________________
Ted Summers
j.t. wrote: ↑Wed Nov 24, 2021 2:19 am
Carlsen will lose his first white game by underestimating Непомнящий's form. After that, he will suffer from the well known anger-Elo-loss phenomenon (which I am currently victim to on Lichess, seriously I lost 150 Elo this month ), and will continue to finally lose his world champion title.
So the same as how Kasparov lost to Kramnik in 2000? He underestimated Kramnik, who came to the board much better prepared.
Carlsen vs. Nepomniachtchi: What do the experts say?
Chessbase wrote:
Who will win the World Championship match between Magnus Carlsen and Ian Nepomniachtchi in Dubai? In video interviews a number of top players, including Garry Kasparov and Vishy Anand, have commented on the possible outcome of the match in video interviews.
"Good decisions come from experience, and experience comes from bad decisions."
__________________________________________________________________
Ted Summers