Discussion of chess software programming and technical issues.
Moderator: Ras
flok
Post
by flok » Mon Nov 10, 2008 1:09 pm
Hi,
Did some statistics on what first 4 moves win most often:
Code: Select all
d2-d4 c2-c4 b1-c3 c4-d5 61.211 38083
e2-e4 d2-d4 b1-c3 f2-f4 60.9751 21043
d2-d4 c2-c4 g1-f3 g2-g3 60.8206 27369
e2-e4 g1-f3 f1-b5 e1-g1 60.693 31025
d2-d4 c2-c4 g1-f3 b1-c3 60.6159 52219
e2-e4 d2-d4 b1-d2 e4-e5 60.0477 21816
d2-d4 g1-f3 c2-c4 b1-c3 59.7149 49522
e2-e4 g1-f3 f1-b5 b5-a4 59.4072 86402
d2-d4 c2-c4 b1-c3 c1-g5 59.242 34538
e2-e4 d2-d4 b1-c3 c1-g5 58.7272 20270
e2-e4 d2-d4 b1-c3 c3-e4 58.7263 28844
e2-e4 d2-d4 b1-c3 e4-e5 58.2016 42315
d2-d4 c2-c4 b1-c3 e2-e4 58.0099 95894
d2-d4 c2-c4 b1-c3 g1-f3 57.432 61760
d2-d4 g1-f3 g2-g3 f1-g2 56.5739 27115
e2-e4 g1-f3 b1-c3 d2-d4 56.3893 22350
g1-f3 g2-g3 f1-g2 e1-g1 56.3741 34154
e2-e4 d2-d4 b1-c3 g1-f3 56.0717 21353
e2-e4 g1-f3 f1-b5 b5-c6 55.8465 21158
d2-d4 c2-c4 b1-c3 e2-e3 55.8194 40348
d2-d4 c2-c4 d4-d5 b1-c3 55.7564 22679
c2-c4 b1-c3 g2-g3 f1-g2 54.2077 38275
e2-e4 g1-f3 d2-d4 f3-d4 53.1315 362497
e2-e4 d2-d4 e4-e5 c2-c3 51.2469 26626
e2-e4 b1-c3 g2-g3 f1-g2 49.6004 30778
Second column is percentage (seen from white point of view), third column is the number of games analyzed for those 4 moves.
Sven
Posts: 4052 Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 9:57 pm
Location: Berlin, Germany
Full name: Sven Schüle
Post
by Sven » Thu Nov 13, 2008 6:32 pm
Three questions arise for me:
Is there anything you can derive from that statistics?
Which game database did you use?
And why did you omit the black moves?
Sven
flok
Post
by flok » Tue Dec 02, 2008 2:36 pm
Sven Schüle wrote: Three questions arise for me:
1. Is there anything you can derive from that statistics?
2. Which game database did you use?
3. And why did you omit the black moves?
Sven
1. maybe that one should preferably use a certain opening for maximum win chance
2. random .pgn-files I found on the web with 4.5 million games
3. oops!
Code: Select all
1.d2-d4 d7-d5 2.c2-c4 e7-e6 3.b1-c3 g8-f6 64.5689 31478
1.d2-d4 d7-d5 2.c2-c4 c7-c6 3.g1-f3 g8-f6 62.9001 25027
1.e2-e4 e7-e5 2.g1-f3 g8-f6 3.f3-e5 d7-d6 62.195 15617
1.e2-e4 e7-e5 2.g1-f3 b8-c6 3.f1-b5 g8-f6 62.1393 13341
1.d2-d4 g8-f6 2.c2-c4 e7-e6 3.b1-c3 d7-d5 61.5442 11967
1.d2-d4 d7-d5 2.c2-c4 c7-c6 3.b1-c3 g8-f6 60.6404 15615
1.e2-e4 e7-e6 2.d2-d4 d7-d5 3.b1-d2 c7-c5 60.6148 12883
1.e2-e4 e7-e6 2.d2-d4 d7-d5 3.b1-d2 g8-f6 60.0569 22507
1.e2-e4 c7-c5 2.g1-f3 b8-c6 3.f1-b5 g7-g6 59.7589 11364
1.e2-e4 d7-d6 2.d2-d4 g8-f6 3.b1-c3 g7-g6 58.751 34796
1.e2-e4 e7-e5 2.g1-f3 b8-c6 3.f1-b5 a7-a6 58.7081 99218
1.d2-d4 g8-f6 2.g1-f3 g7-g6 3.c2-c4 f8-g7 58.2721 21077
1.d2-d4 g8-f6 2.c2-c4 e7-e6 3.g1-f3 d7-d5 58.1375 12510
1.e2-e4 e7-e5 2.g1-f3 b8-c6 3.d2-d4 e5-d4 58.1364 34911
1.e2-e4 e7-e6 2.d2-d4 d7-d5 3.b1-c3 f8-b4 58.0961 43027
1.e2-e4 g8-f6 2.e4-e5 f6-d5 3.d2-d4 d7-d6 58.0614 22862
1.d2-d4 g8-f6 2.c2-c4 e7-e6 3.g1-f3 b7-b6 57.9263 24709
1.e2-e4 d7-d5 2.e4-d5 d8-d5 3.b1-c3 d5-a5 57.7137 19822
1.e2-e4 e7-e6 2.d2-d4 d7-d5 3.b1-c3 g8-f6 57.5532 24996
1.d2-d4 g8-f6 2.c2-c4 g7-g6 3.b1-c3 f8-g7 57.2156 87553
1.e2-e4 g7-g6 2.d2-d4 f8-g7 3.b1-c3 d7-d6 57.0101 13017
1.d2-d4 g8-f6 2.c2-c4 c7-c5 3.d4-d5 e7-e6 56.5619 12123
1.e2-e4 c7-c6 2.d2-d4 d7-d5 3.b1-c3 d5-e4 56.2521 23400
1.e2-e4 e7-e5 2.g1-f3 b8-c6 3.f1-c4 f8-c5 56.1468 32326
1.d2-d4 g8-f6 2.c2-c4 g7-g6 3.b1-c3 d7-d5 55.877 34354
1.e2-e4 c7-c6 2.d2-d4 d7-d5 3.e4-e5 c8-f5 55.3486 16752
1.e2-e4 c7-c6 2.d2-d4 d7-d5 3.e4-d5 c6-d5 54.8288 23194
1.e2-e4 c7-c5 2.c2-c3 d7-d5 3.e4-d5 d8-d5 54.7476 16008
1.g1-f3 g8-f6 2.g2-g3 g7-g6 3.f1-g2 f8-g7 54.2087 10716
1.e2-e4 c7-c5 2.g1-f3 d7-d6 3.d2-d4 c5-d4 54.1369 157233
1.e2-e4 e7-e5 2.g1-f3 b8-c6 3.f1-c4 g8-f6 53.5138 28516
1.d2-d4 g8-f6 2.c2-c4 e7-e6 3.b1-c3 f8-b4 53.3392 56780
1.d2-d4 g8-f6 2.c2-c4 c7-c5 3.d4-d5 b7-b5 52.9909 21415
1.e2-e4 e7-e5 2.g1-f3 b8-c6 3.b1-c3 g8-f6 52.3655 15747
1.e2-e4 c7-c5 2.g1-f3 b8-c6 3.d2-d4 c5-d4 52.021 105888
1.e2-e4 c7-c5 2.g1-f3 e7-e6 3.d2-d4 c5-d4 50.9513 75056
1.e2-e4 c7-c5 2.c2-c3 g8-f6 3.e4-e5 f6-d5 49.9184 14704
1.e2-e4 e7-e6 2.d2-d4 d7-d5 3.e4-e5 c7-c5 49.7162 28717
1.e2-e4 e7-e6 2.d2-d4 d7-d5 3.e4-d5 e6-d5 45.1183 16951
1.e2-e4 c7-c5 2.b1-c3 b8-c6 3.g2-g3 g7-g6 44.6009 17401