K-Factor and the SSDF

Discussion of anything and everything relating to chess playing software and machines.

Moderator: Ras

Sean Evans
Posts: 1777
Joined: Thu Jun 05, 2008 10:58 pm
Location: Canada

K-Factor and the SSDF

Post by Sean Evans »

If FIDE changes the K-Factor, I am wondering what advantages and disadvantages this would give chess programs at the SSDF, who will presumably follow along with FIDE!

Polish GM Bartlomiej Macieja is insisting that the decision to increase the K-factor in rating calculations is not just necessary and good in the current tournament situation, it is in fact irrevocable and can only be legally changed by the body that passed it.

http://www.fide.com/component/content/a ... e-k-factor
Vinvin
Posts: 5298
Joined: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:40 am
Full name: Vincent Lejeune

Re: K-Factor and the SSDF

Post by Vinvin »

SSDF (as other computer rating lists) doesn't use K-factor because computer rating lists use performance to calculate ratings. K-factor is usefull when the strenght of a player changes (when human improve or regress).


Sean Evans wrote:If FIDE changes the K-Factor, I am wondering what advantages and disadvantages this would give chess programs at the SSDF, who will presumably follow along with FIDE!

Polish GM Bartlomiej Macieja is insisting that the decision to increase the K-factor in rating calculations is not just necessary and good in the current tournament situation, it is in fact irrevocable and can only be legally changed by the body that passed it.

http://www.fide.com/component/content/a ... e-k-factor
Uri Blass
Posts: 10889
Joined: Thu Mar 09, 2006 12:37 am
Location: Tel-Aviv Israel

Re: K-Factor and the SSDF

Post by Uri Blass »

Vinvin wrote:SSDF (as other computer rating lists) doesn't use K-factor because computer rating lists use performance to calculate ratings. K-factor is usefull when the strenght of a player changes (when human improve or regress).
I am not sure if you are right for the ssdf.

computers use book learning in the ssdf games so the strength of the players can be changed in the ssdf games.

Uri
User avatar
Laskos
Posts: 10948
Joined: Wed Jul 26, 2006 10:21 pm
Full name: Kai Laskos

Re: K-Factor and the SSDF

Post by Laskos »

Uri Blass wrote:
Vinvin wrote:SSDF (as other computer rating lists) doesn't use K-factor because computer rating lists use performance to calculate ratings. K-factor is usefull when the strenght of a player changes (when human improve or regress).
I am not sure if you are right for the ssdf.

computers use book learning in the ssdf games so the strength of the players can be changed in the ssdf games.

Uri
No, I think SSDF uses something like Elostat, not K-factor. Asymptotically they are the same, if players do not evolve or devolve rapidly. The K-factor diminishes the variability of the rating, if I remember well, as it overlaps several dozens of games game by game. I am curious about another thing, about inflationary/deflationary ratings of FIDE and SSDF. Here they may differ greatly, as it depends on new entrants and retirements. In FIDE the new entrants are usually weaker young players, which are advancing, and the older, maybe higher rated players are retiring. In SSDF most new entrants are strong from the beginning, and leftovers are weaker engines on a weak hardware. Therefore inflationary/deflationary nature of ratings may differ strongly.

Kai
MattieShoes
Posts: 718
Joined: Fri Mar 20, 2009 8:59 pm

Re: K-Factor and the SSDF

Post by MattieShoes »

Given all of the historical games, one can tweak rating systems retroactively and see what happens. Sonas did this with ChessMetrics. There's also an interesting Chessbase article from him about the shortcomings of FIDE rating system.

K factor doesn't affect SSDF I don't think. Changes to the FIDE rating system might affect how the SSDF ratings compare to FIDE ratings, but given the issues with rating systems over time, this is a problem regardless.
User avatar
Laskos
Posts: 10948
Joined: Wed Jul 26, 2006 10:21 pm
Full name: Kai Laskos

Re: K-Factor and the SSDF

Post by Laskos »

MattieShoes wrote:Given all of the historical games, one can tweak rating systems retroactively and see what happens. Sonas did this with ChessMetrics. There's also an interesting Chessbase article from him about the shortcomings of FIDE rating system.

K factor doesn't affect SSDF I don't think. Changes to the FIDE rating system might affect how the SSDF ratings compare to FIDE ratings, but given the issues with rating systems over time, this is a problem regardless.
Exactly, the new K-factors are not so relevant when comparing FIDE ratings to SSDF, because they anyway use different rating schemes, and are hard to compare for any K-factor (AFAIK SSDF uses something like Elostat with no K-factors). More of a concern to me are general inflationary/deflationary trends. I am aware of the Sonas work, he even proposed a new rating scheme, if I remember well. Would be interesting to repeat his work for the computer ratings (Elostat and Bayeselo).

Kai